Page 1 July 1, 2022 HB 22-1010 Legislative Council Staff Nonpartisan Services for Colorado’s Legislature Final Fiscal Note Drafting Number: Prime Sponsors: LLS 22-0202 Rep. Sirota; Van Beber Sen. Buckner; Kirkmeyer Date: Bill Status: Fiscal Analysts: July 1, 2022 Signed into Law Aaron Carpenter | 303-866-4918 Aaron.Carpenter@state.co.us Jeff Stupak | 303-866-5834 Jeff.Stupak@state.co.us Bill Topic: EARLY CHILDHOOD EDUCATOR INCOME TAX CREDIT Summary of Fiscal Impact: ☒ State Revenue ☒ State Expenditure ☐ State Transfer ☒ TABOR Refund ☐ Local Government ☐ Statutory Public Entity The bill creates a refundable income tax credit for eligible early childhood educators. The bill will decrease state revenue beginning in FY 2021-22, and increase state expenditures beginning in FY 2022-23. Appropriation Summary: For FY 2022-23, the bill requires and includes an appropriation of $156,743 to the Department of Revenue. Fiscal Note Status: The fiscal note reflects the enacted bill. The bill was recommended by the Early Childhood and School Readiness Legislative Commission. Table 1 State Fiscal Impacts Under HB 22-1010 Current Year FY 2021-22 Budget Year FY 2022-23 Out Year FY 2023-24 Revenue General Fund ($6.2 million) ($12.9 million) ($13.7 million) Total ($6.2 million) ($12.9 million) ($13.7 million) Expenditures General Fund - $156,743 $86,926 Centrally Appropriated - $28,931 $23,274 Total - $185,674 $110,200 Total FTE - 2.0 FTE 1.6 FTE Transfers - - - Other Budget Impacts TABOR Refund ($6.2 million) ($12.9 million) ($13.7 million) General Fund Reserve - $23,511 $13,039 Page 2 July 1, 2022 HB 22-1010 Summary of Legislation The bill creates a refundable income tax credit for early childhood educators who have an adjusted gross income of less than or equal to $75,000 for a single return or $150,000 for a joint return, has held an early childhood professional credential for at least part of the income tax year, and is the licensee of an eligible early childcare program or employed by an eligible program for at least six months. The credit can be claimed from January 1, 2022, through January 1, 2026. Credit amounts include: $750 for an Early Childcare Professional I; $1,000 for an Early Childcare Professional II; and $1,500 for an Early Childcare Professional III, IV, V, and VI. After January 1, 2023, the Department of Revenue (DOR) must adjust the amount of the credit by inflation. The Department of Human Services must provide DOR with an electronic report of each individual who held an early childhood professional credential each year. Assumptions As of January 13, 2022, the Department of Human Services reports that there are: 6,019 early childhood professionals who currently satisfy the eligibility criteria for the tax credit; 4,207 credentialed early childhood professionals who do not satisfy the eligibility criteria; and 8,559 early childhood professionals whose eligibility status is unknown. For 2022, the eligible population is assumed to include all currently eligible early childhood professionals, half of the early childhood professionals with unknown status, and five percent of ineligible early childhood professionals, including the currently ineligible and half of those with unknown eligibility. An additional 5.0 percent of the ineligible population is assumed to become eligible each year for which the tax credit remains in effect, based on caseload growth and the assumption that the presence of the tax credit will incentivize professionals to work in this field. The credit amounts are grown by inflation expectations using the Denver-Aurora-Lakewood consumer price index inflation projections published in the December 2021 Legislative Council Staff forecast. For years beyond 2023, the annual rate of inflation is assumed to be 2.2 percent. The fiscal note does not assume any change in the distribution of educators across credential tiers. State Revenue The bill will decrease General Fund revenue by $6.2 million in the current FY 2021-22, $12.9 million in FY 2022-23, and $13.7 million in FY 2023-24. The estimate for FY 2021-22 represents a half year impact for tax year 2022. Full-year revenue impacts will continue through FY 2024-25, with a half-year impact in FY 2025-26 as the credit is repealed. The bill decreases income tax revenue, which is subject to TABOR. Taxpayer and revenue estimates are presented on a tax year basis in Table 2 and on a fiscal year basis in Table 3. Page 3 July 1, 2022 HB 22-1010 Table 2 Estimated Taxpayer and Revenue Impacts Under HB 22-1010 Tax Year 2022 2023 2024 2025 Eligible Population ECP I 2,202 2,303 2,399 2,490 ECP II 3,960 4,110 4,254 4,390 ECP III 2,733 2,827 2,917 3,003 ECP IV 1,025 1,059 1,091 1,121 ECP V 462 476 490 502 ECP IV 341 350 359 367 Total Eligible 10,723 11,126 11,509 11,873 Credit Amount ECP I $750 $776 $790 $807 ECP II $1,000 $1,034 $1,053 $1,076 ECP III $1,500 $1,551 $1,579 $1,614 ECP IV $1,500 $1,551 $1,579 $1,614 ECP V $1,500 $1,551 $1,579 $1,614 ECP IV $1,500 $1,551 $1,579 $1,614 Total Tax Credits Claimed ECP I $1,651,369 $1,786,999 $1,895,046 $2,009,392 ECP II $3,959,650 $4,250,120 $4,478,987 $4,723,179 ECP III $4,098,975 $4,385,169 $4,606,340 $4,846,340 ECP IV $1,537,463 $1,642,007 $1,722,203 $1,809,468 ECP V $693,413 $738,759 $773,151 $810,734 ECP IV $512,175 $543,513 $566,792 $592,432 Total Revenue Impact $12,453,044 $13,346,567 $14,042,519 $14,791,545 ECP = early childhood professional. Tax year impacts are accrued across the two fiscal years that each comprise half of the tax year. Table 3 Revenue Impacts by Fiscal Year Under HB 22-1010 FY 2021-22* FY 2022-23 FY2023-24 FY 2024-25 FY 2025-26* Revenue ($6,226,522) ($12,899,805) ($13,694,543) ($14,417,032) ($7,395,772)) * Fiscal year impacts comprise half-year impacts for each of the two component tax years. Page 4 July 1, 2022 HB 22-1010 State Expenditures The bill increases state General Fund expenditures in the DOR by $185,674 in FY 2022-23 and $110,200 in FY 2023-24, with ongoing impacts through FY 2026-27. Expenditures are shown in Table 4 and detailed below. In addition, expenditures in the DHS may increase as explained below. Table 4 Expenditures Under HB 22-1010 FY 2022-23 FY 2023-24 Department of Revenue Personal Services $99,282 $80,866 Operating Expenses $2,970 $2,160 Capital Outlay Costs $18,600 - Computer Programming $34,859 $3,200 Document Changes $1,032 $700 Centrally Appropriated Costs 1 $28,931 $23,274 Total Cost $185,674 $110,200 Total FTE 2.0 FTE 1.6 FTE 1 Centrally appropriated costs are not included in the bill's appropriation. Department of Revenue. General Fund expenditures in the DOR will increase to hire additional staff and to make changes to its GenTax software. The DOR requires 2.0 FTE in FY 2022-23 and 1.6 FTE beginning in FY 2023-24 to process returns, conduct initial review, and to resolve any return issues. Staffing costs are shown in Table 4 and are prorated for the General Fund paydate shift. Computer programing. This bill requires expenditures of $34,859 to program, test, and update database fields in the DOR's GenTax software system. Programming costs are estimated at $4,950, representing 22 hours of contract programming at a rate of $225 per hour. Costs for testing at the department are estimated at $26,709, representing 586 hours for the systems Support Office at $35 per hour and 246 hours of user acceptance testing at a rate of $25.50 per hour. Expenditures in the Office of Research and Analysis are required for changes in the related GenTax reports so that the department can access and document tax statistics related to the new tax policy. These costs are estimated at $3,200, representing 100 hours for data management and reporting at $32 per hour. Finally, the DOR will need to make changes to its tax forms. The changes are expected to cost $1,032 in FY 2022-23 and $700 in FY 2023-24. These costs are reappropriated to the Department of Personnel and Administration. Department of Human Services. Expenditures within the DHS will increase to the extent they receive additional applicants for credentialing. These costs include additional help desk staff and purchasing additional licenses in three computer systems: the Colorado Shines Professional Development Information System for educators to receive and maintain their credentials, the Colorado Shines Technology System for early childhood education programs to receive a quality rating, and the Page 5 July 1, 2022 HB 22-1010 Attendance Tracking System for programs that have a fiscal agreement with CCCAP. User licenses for these systems are purchased in blocks, meaning that the cost increases once a certain threshold of new users is reached. To the extent that the income tax credit incentivizes new educators or childcare facilities, the department may be required to purchase additional user licenses in future years. In addition, if additional persons apply for credentials, additional help staff desk may be needed. Any future increase in appropriations will be requested through the annual budget process. Centrally appropriated costs. Pursuant to a Joint Budget Committee policy, certain costs associated with this bill are addressed through the annual budget process and centrally appropriated in the Long Bill or supplemental appropriations bills, rather than in this bill. These costs, which include employee insurance and supplemental employee retirement payments, are shown in Table 4. Other Budget Impacts TABOR refunds. The bill is expected to decrease the amount of state revenue required to be refunded to taxpayers by the amounts shown in the State Revenue section above. Because TABOR refunds are paid from the General Fund, decreased General Fund revenue will lower the TABOR refund obligation, but result in no net change to the amount of General Fund otherwise available to spend or save. General Fund reserve. Under current law, an amount equal to 15 percent of General Fund appropriations must be set aside in the General Fund statutory reserve beginning in FY 2022-23. Based on this fiscal note, the bill is expected to increase the amount of General Fund held in reserve by $23,511 in FY 2022-23 in $13,039 FY 2023-24, which will decrease the amount of General Fund available for other purposes. Effective Date The bill was signed into law by the Governor on June 3, 2022, and takes effect on August 9, 2022, assuming no referendum petition is filed. State Appropriations In FY 2022-23, the bill requires and includes a General Fund appropriation of $156,743 and 2.0 FTE to the Department of Revenue. Of this amount, $1,032 is reappropriated to the Department of Personnel and Administration. State and Local Government Contacts Human Services Information Technology Personnel Revenue The revenue and expenditure impacts in this fiscal note represent changes from current law under the bill for each fiscal year. For additional information about fiscal notes, please visit: leg.colorado.gov/fiscalnotes.