Page 1 March 21, 2024 HB 24-1349 Legislative Council Staff Nonpartisan Services for Colorado’s Legislature Fiscal Note Drafting Number: Prime Sponsors: LLS 24-0546 Rep. Duran Date: Bill Status: Fiscal Analyst: March 21, 2024 House Finance Amanda Liddle | 303-866-5834 amanda.liddle@coleg.gov Bill Topic: FIREARMS AND AMMUNITION EXCISE TAX Summary of Fiscal Impact: ☒ State Revenue ☒ State Expenditure ☒ State Transfer ☐ TABOR Refund ☒ Local Government ☐ Statutory Public Entity The bill refers a ballot measure to voters at the November 2024 election. Conditional on voter approval, the bill imposes an excise tax on firearms dealers, firearms manufacturers, and ammunition vendors beginning April 1, 2025. The bill conditionally increases state revenue, expenditures, and transfers beginning in FY 2024-25. Appropriation Summary: For FY 2024-25, the bill conditionally requires an appropriation of $346,807 to the Department of Revenue. Fiscal Note Status: The fiscal note reflects the introduced bill. Table 1 Conditional State Fiscal Impacts Under HB 24-1349 Budget Year FY 2024-25 Out Year FY 2025-26 Revenue Cash Funds $15.6 million $62.2 million Total Revenue $15.6 million $62.2 million Expenditures General Fund $346,807 $122,546 Cash Funds up to $15.6 million up to $62.2 million Centrally Appropriated $8,825 - Total Expenditures up to $16.0 million up to $62.3 million Total FTE 0.9 FTE 0.5 FTE Transfers Cash Funds ($15.6 million) ($62.2 million) Cash Funds $15.6 million $62.2 million Net Transfers $0 $0 Other Budget Impacts General Fund Reserve $52,021 $18,382 Page 2 March 21, 2024 HB 24-1349 Summary of Legislation The bill refers a ballot measure to voters at the November 2024 election. If voters approve the ballot measure, the bill imposes an excise tax on firearms dealers, firearms manufacturers, and ammunition vendors equal to 11 percent of gross taxable sales from the retail sale of any firearm, firearm precursor part, or ammunition in Colorado. The tax is levied beginning on April 1, 2025. If approved by voters, revenue from the tax is exempt from TABOR as a voter- approved revenue change. Revenue from the tax is collected in the General Fund and transferred to a new Firearms and Ammunition Excise Tax Cash Fund. Revenue in the fund is distributed annually as follows: the first $45 million in the first fiscal year and that amount adjusted for inflation in each fiscal year thereafter is transferred to the Colorado Crime Victim Services Fund (Victim Services Fund) in the Division of Criminal Justice of the Department of Public Safety for crime victim services grants; the next $5 million in each fiscal year is transferred to the Victims and Witnesses Assistance and Law Enforcement Fund for local judicial districts; the next $5 million in each fiscal year is transferred to the Victim Services Fund for mass tragedy response and prevention programs, except that any funds not spent or encumbered for that purpose may be used by the division for additional crime services grants; the next $4 million in each fiscal year is transferred to the Wildlife Cash Fund in the Division of Parks and Wildlife of the Department of Natural Resources for administration and enforcement of wildlife laws against the illegal use of firearms; the next $2 million in each fiscal year is transferred to the Wildlife Cash Fund for programs to support shooting and shooting range safety; and any remaining money in each fiscal year must be transferred to the Victim Services Fund for crime victim services grants. Exemptions. If total retail sales of a firearms dealer, manufacturer, or ammunition vendor is less than $2,000 in a month, the business’s sales are exempt from the excise tax. Retail sales to peace officers and law enforcement agencies are exempt from the excise tax. Background Firearms and ammunition are currently subject to an 11 percent federal excise tax. Other states have historically levied taxes on those selling, purchasing, or possessing firearms and other weapons. As of 2023 legislative sessions, California is the only other state that imposes an 11 percent excise tax and firearms and ammunition, though Pennsylvania and some local governments levy comparable excise taxes or surcharges on firearm sales. Page 3 March 21, 2024 HB 24-1349 State Revenue If voters approve the ballot measure, the bill is estimated to increase state revenue to the Firearms and Ammunition Excise Tax Cash Fund by $15.6 million in FY 2024-25, $62.2 million in FY 2025-26, and $64.2 million in FY 2026-27 with comparable growth in future years. Revenue from the tax is exempt from TABOR as a voter-approved revenue change. Based on national retail sale prices for firearms and ammunition, the fiscal note assumes average costs as follows: $548 for a handgun; $932 for a long gun; $740 for other types of guns and precursor parts; and $1,480 for purchases that include multiple guns. Due to volatility in prices of firearms and precursor parts that is not solely attributable to inflation, firearms and precursor parts are not inflation-adjusted. The total estimated number of firearms sold each year is derived from approved firearm background checks as reported by the Colorado Bureau of Investigation (CBI) and the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI). The fiscal note assumes about 410,000 total firearm sales per year. The revenue estimate does not account for any sales exempted from the excise tax or any behavioral changes in sales that may result from the enactment of the bill. Based on the estimated ammunition market size in the United States and the proportion of firearm background checks that occur in Colorado compared to the rest of the U.S., the fiscal note estimates that ammunition retail sales will contribute $5.6 million to revenue collections in FY 2024-25, $22.7 million in FY 2025-26, and $24.2 million in FY 2026-27 with comparable growth in future years. The price of ammunition is assumed to increase by the Denver-Aurora- Lakewood inflation rates assumed in the March 2024 LCS forecast and growth in total amount of guns owned in Colorado each year. State Transfers If voters approve the ballot measure, the bill makes yearly transfers from the Firearms and Ammunition Excise Tax Cash Fund to three different cash funds in the order specified in the summary section of the fiscal note; the amount of total transfers to each cash fund is dependent on the total revenue collected from the excise tax per this bill. For FY 2024-25, the bill makes an estimated transfer of $15.6 million to the Victim Services Fund. In FY 2025-26, the bill makes transfers estimated as follows: a total of $51.2 million to the Victim Services Fund, including $46.2 million for crime victim services grants and $5 million for mass tragedy response and prevention programs; $5 million to the Victims and Witnesses Assistance and Law Enforcement Fund for local jurisdictions; and Page 4 March 21, 2024 HB 24-1349 $6 million to the Wildlife Cash Fund, including $4 million for administration and enforcement if wildlife laws against illegal use of firearms and $2 million for programs to support shooting and shooting range safety. State Expenditures If voters approve the ballot measure, the bill increases state expenditures to administer the new excise tax by about $355,100 in FY 2024-25 and $122,500 in FY 2025-26 and future years. These costs, which are paid from the General Fund, are summarized in Table 2 and discussed below. The bill will also increase spending of the new tax revenue by up to $15.6 million in FY 2024-25, up to $62.2 million in FY 2025-26, and increasing amounts in future years. Table 2 Conditional Tax Implementation Costs Under HB 24-1349 FY 2024-25 FY 2025-26 Department of Revenue Personal Services $39,307 - Operating Expenses $512 - Capital Outlay Costs $6,670 - GenTax Programming & Testing $177,708 - Office of Research Analysis $7,392 $7,328 Legal Services $115,218 $115,218 Centrally Appropriated Costs 1 $8,285 - FTE – Personal Services 0.4 FTE - FTE – Legal Services 0.5 FTE 0.5 FTE Total Cost $355,092 $122,546 Total FTE 0.9 FTE 0.5 FTE 1 Centrally appropriated costs are not included in the bill's appropriation. Tax personnel. DOR requires 0.5 FTE tax conferee to answer taxpayer questions, review returns, and work with taxpayers to resolve issues. Personnel needs are estimated based on the assumed number of businesses impacted by the excise tax. Based on data reported by the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms, and Explosives, there is an estimated 2,250 businesses that would be subject to this tax. Workload is expected to be absorbable in future years as the volume of questions and errors decrease over time. Additional personnel will be required only from October 2024 through June 2025. Legal services. DOR requires general counsel from the Department of Law on rulemaking, implementation, and the ongoing administration of the tax. Legal services needs are estimated at 900 hours (0.5 FTE) in the first year to promulgate rulemaking and in future years to provide legal representation for statutory interpretation questions raised by DOR and taxpayers. Page 5 March 21, 2024 HB 24-1349 GenTax Programming and Testing. DOR needs one-time funding in FY 2024-25 to create and program forms and returns. GenTax programming is estimated to require 600 hours at $231.75 per hour, paid to the vendor, for a total cost of $139,050. In addition, required development and testing work in support of GenTax programming is estimated to require 1,137 hours of work for a total one-time cost of $38,658. Office of Research Analysis. The Office of Research and Analysis within the Department of Revenue will perform 231 hours of work at a rate of $32 per hour in FY 2024-25, and 228 hours of work in future years, to update database fields and conduct ongoing reporting. Victim and other services. Based on available revenue, expenditures will increase by up to $15.6 million in FY 2024-25 and up to $62.2 million in FY 2025-26 and increasing amounts in future years to provide crime victim and other services, based on the amounts and for the purposes listed in the State Transfer section above. The Victim Services Fund and the Victims and Witnesses Assistance and Law Enforcement Fund are continuously appropriated to the Department of Public Safety and the Judicial Department, respectively. The Wildlife Cash Fund in the Department of Natural Resources is subject to annual appropriation by the General Assembly. The timing and amount of future expenditures may vary based on future agency decisions and by appropriations made by the General Assembly through the annual budget process. Election expenditure impact — existing appropriations. This bill includes a referred question that will appear before voters at the November 2024 general election. While no additional appropriation is required, certain election costs are incurred by the state when ballot measures are referred. These include reimbursing counties for certain election costs; publishing the text and title of the measure in newspapers across the state; and preparing and mailing the ballot information booklet. Centrally appropriated costs. Pursuant to a Joint Budget Committee policy, certain costs associated with this bill are addressed through the annual budget process and centrally appropriated in the Long Bill or supplemental appropriations bills, rather than in this bill. These costs, which include employee insurance and supplemental employee retirement payments, are shown in Table 2. Other Budget Impacts General Fund Reserve. Under current law, an amount equal to 15 percent of General Fund appropriations must be set aside in the General Fund statutory reserve beginning in FY 2024-25. Based on this fiscal note, the bill conditionally increases the amount of General Fund held in the reserve by the amounts shown in Table 1, which decreases the amount of General Fund available for other purposes. Page 6 March 21, 2024 HB 24-1349 Local Government The proposed bill may make additional funding available to local governments and local law enforcement agencies that provide services including crime victim and witness assistance; mass tragedy response; and shooting range safety. Additional funding may also be available to local governments eligible for grants from various programs administered by the Division of Criminal Justice and Department of Natural Resources that would receive an allocation of the new excise tax. Local law enforcement agencies would not have to pay the excise tax for firearms or ammunition. Technical Note The Department of Revenue may not have sufficient time to create and program forms and returns, register vendors, promulgate rules, and draft web guidance and other publications before the April 1, 2025 implementation date. DOR is undertaking an upgrade to the GenTax system starting in January 2025 which will limit the ability to make the necessary programming changes before April 1, 2025. Effective Date The portion of the bill that refers a ballot measure to voters takes effect upon signature of the Governor, or upon becoming law without his signature. The remainder of the bill takes effect only if voters approve the ballot measure at the November 2024 election. State Appropriations If voters approve the ballot measure, for FY 2024-25, the bill requires a General Fund appropriation of $346,807 to the Department of Revenue, and 0.9 FTE. Of this amount, $115,218 should be reappropriated to the Department of Law with an additional 0.5 FTE. State and Local Government Contacts Corrections Counties District Attorneys Information Technology Judicial Local Affairs Law Municipalities Natural Resources Personnel Public Safety Revenue Secretary of State Special Districts State Auditor The revenue and expenditure impacts in this fiscal note represent changes from current law under the bill for each fiscal year. For additional information about fiscal notes, please visit the General Assembly website.