LEGISLATIVE SERVICES AGENCY OFFICE OF FISCAL AND MANAGEMENT ANALYSIS FISCAL IMPACT STATEMENT LS 6727 NOTE PREPARED: Apr 1, 2025 BILL NUMBER: SB 451 BILL AMENDED: Mar 27, 2025 SUBJECT: Income Tax Rate. FIRST AUTHOR: Sen. Holdman BILL STATUS: As Passed House FIRST SPONSOR: Rep. Thompson FUNDS AFFECTED:XGENERAL IMPACT: State DEDICATED FEDERAL Summary of Legislation: The bill provides for a decrease in the Individual Adjusted Gross Income Tax rate beginning in 2030 depending on certain conditions being met. Effective Date: July 1, 2025. Explanation of State Expenditures: State Budget Agency (SBA): The bill requires the SBA to calculate the revenue growth for purpose of Individual Income Tax rate cut. The provision will have a minimal impact on the SBA’s workload. Department of State Revenue (DOR): The DOR will incur additional expenses to publish the tax rate related information, revise tax forms, instructions, computer programs, and withholding tables to reflect the tax rate related changes made by the bill. The DOR's current level of resources should be sufficient to implement these changes. Explanation of State Revenues: Individual Income Tax Rate: The bill could result in a revenue loss to the state General Fund starting in FY 2030. The bill provides guidelines to the SBA to conduct a calculation at the end of each even numbered fiscal year starting in FY 2028. The calculation will determine the percentage of actual revenue growth in the amount of state General Fund revenues in four prior fiscal years and the forecasted revenue growth in the fiscal year ending in the following calendar year. It provides for a reduction of the state Individual Income Tax rate if the revenue collections calculated for all fiscal years are at least 3.5% above the revenue collections for the prior fiscal year. The calculation will be made at the end of each even numbered fiscal year starting FY 2028 and ending FY 2040. The rate will be reduced by 0.05% in the following even numbered year in which the calculation made by the SBA results in the thresholds being met. The required threshold has not been met in the last twenty years. If the thresholds are met in the future, based on the current level of income tax revenues, each 0.05 percentage point reduction of tax rate would result in a decline of income tax revenues between $150 M to $200 M annually. Under current law, Indiana imposes a flat income tax rate being phased down from 3.05% in 2024 to 3.0% in 2025, 2.95% in 2026, and 2.9% in 2027 and years thereafter. Under the bill, assuming that the thresholds SB 451 1 are met at the end of FY 2028 and FY 2030, the tax rate would be phased down from 2.9% to 2.85% for tax year 2030 and 2031 and 2.8% for tax year 2032 and 2033. Tax rate decreases in future years will continue to depend on the outcome of calculations conducted by the SBA at the end of each even numbered fiscal year. Under the bill, the last decrement in tax rate could occur on January 1, 2042. Individual Income Tax is deposited in the state General Fund. Explanation of Local Expenditures: Explanation of Local Revenues: State Agencies Affected: State Budget Agency; Department of State Revenue. Local Agencies Affected: Information Sources: State Revenue Forecast, December 17, 2024; OFMA Income Tax Database; Legislative Services Agency, Indiana Handbook of Taxes, Revenues, and Apropriations, Fiscal Year 2024, https://iga.in.gov/publications/handbooks Fiscal Analyst: Randhir Jha, 317-232-9556. SB 451 2