2016 REGULAR SESSION ACTUARIAL NOTE SB 2 Page 1 of 4 Senate Bill 2 SLS 16RS-23 Original Author: Representative Sam Jones Date: March 23, 2016 LLA Note SB 2 .01 Organizations Affected: State Retirement Systems OR INCREASE APV This Note has been prepared by the Actuarial Services Department of the Office of the Legislative Auditor. The attachment of this Note to S B 2 provides compliance with the requirements of R.S. 24:52 1 Bill Header: RETIREMENT SYSTEMS. Authorizes payments funded by state systems' experience accounts to certain retirees and beneficiaries. (2/3 - CA10s29(F)) (6/30/16). Cost Summary: The estimated actuarial and fiscal impact of the proposed legislative is summarized below. Actuarial costs pertain to changes in the actuarial present value of future benefit payments . A cost is denoted by “Increase” or a positive number. Savings are denoted by “Decrease” or a negative number. Actuarial Cost to Retirement Systems Increase Total Five Year Fiscal Cost Expenditures See Analysis Revenues See Analysis Estimated Actuarial Impact: The chart below shows the estimated change in the actuarial present value of future benefit payments, if any, attributable to the proposed legislation. A cost is denoted by “Increase” or a positive number. Savings are denoted by “Decrease” or a negative number. Present value costs associated with administration or other fiscal concerns are not included in these values. Change in the Actuarial Cost to: Actuarial Present Value All Louisiana Public Retirement Systems Increase Other Post Retirement Benefits $0 Total Increase Estimated Fiscal Impact: The chart below shows the estimated fiscal impact of the proposed legislation. This represents the effect on cash flows for the retirement systems and other government entities. Fiscal costs include estimated administrative costs and costs associated with other fiscal concerns. A fiscal cost is denoted by “Increase” or a positive number. Actuarial or fiscal savings are denoted by “Decrease” or a negative number. EXPENDITURES 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-2020 2020-2021 5 Year Total State General Fund $ 0 See Analysis See Analysis See Analysis See Analysis See Analysis Agy Self Generated See Analysis See Analysis See Analysis See Analysis See Analysis See Analysis Stat Deds/Other 0 0 0 0 0 0 Federal Funds 0 0 0 0 0 0 Local Funds 0 See Analysis See Analysis See Analysis See Analysis See Analysis Annual Total $ 0 See Analysis See Analysis See Analysis See Analysis See Analysis REVENUES 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-2020 2020-2021 5 Year Total State General Fund $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 Agy Self Generated 0 See Analysis See Analysis See Analysis See Analysis See Analysis Stat Deds/Other 0 0 0 0 0 0 Federal Funds 0 0 0 0 0 0 Local Funds 0 0 0 0 0 0 Annual Total $ 0 See Analysis See Analysis See Analysis See Analysis See Analysis 2016 REGULAR SESSION ACTUARIAL NOTE SB 2 Page 2 of 4 Bill Information: Current Law The maximum cost-of-living-adjustment (COLA) that may potentially be given under current law effective July 1, 2016 is 0.124%. This percentage increase would be available for eligible retirees, survivors, and beneficiaries of the Louisiana Employees’ Retirement System (LASERS), the Teachers’ Retirement System of Louisiana (TRSL), the Louisiana School Employees’ Retirement System (LSERS) and the Louisiana State Police Retirement System (STPOL). The COLA rate would apply to the first $60,000 of an eligible person’s annual benefit. Proposed Law SB 2 provides a COLA effective July 1, 2016 to eligible retirees, survivors, and beneficiaries equal to the amounts shown below 1. For LASERS, a 1.5% of the benefit amount. 2. For TRSL, a 1.5% of the benefit amount. 3. For LSERS, a 2.0% of the benefit amount. 4. For STPOL, a 2.0% of the benefit amount. If the balances in the Experience Accounts on June 30, 2016 are less that the cost to provide for these COLAs, the percentage increase will be reduced accordingly. The benefit increase will be paid only on the first sixty -thousand dollars of a retiree’s, survivor’s or beneficiary’s annual benefit . Implications of the Proposed Changes SB 2 overrides current law for one year and provides a larger COLA to eligible person’s than what they would have otherwise been entitled. Cost Analysis: Analysis of Actuarial Costs SB 2 contains benefit provisions having an actuarial cost. Retirement Systems Cost of COLAs under Current Law Eligible retirees will receive a 0.124% COLA under current law. The present value of these benefits, $30,733,424, is shown in Table 1. Table 1 Current Law COLA Effective July 1, 2016 LASERS TRSL LSERS STPOL Total 0.124% COLA 0.124% COLA Estimated Number of: Regular Retirees 33,575 58,751 10,146 696 103,168 Survivors & Beneficiaries 5, 834 6, 771 1,662 335 14,602 Disabled Retirees 2,457 4,121 331 62 6,971 Total 41,866 69,643 12,139 1,093 12 4,741 Actuarial Present Value of COLA a Regular Retirees $ 8,956,456 $ 16,845,115 $ 1,384,049 $ 332,603 $ 27,518,223 Survivors and Beneficiaries 875,837 1,216,028 142,285 71,311 2,305,461 Disabled Retirees 346,354 512,504 30,148 20,735 909,740 Total $ 10,178,647 $ 18,573,647 $ 1,556,482 $ 424,649 $ 30,733,424 Estimated Balance in the Experience Account on June 30, 2016 b . $ 123,579,684 $ 226,356,559 $ 23,058,055 $ 12,416,791 $ 385,411,089 a. The liability is calculated using census data as of June 30, 2015 and rolled forward to June 30, 2016. b. Assuming there is no allocation to the Experience Account on June 30, 2016 and the return on the actuarial value of assets for FYE 2016 is 0.0%. 2016 REGULAR SESSION ACTUARIAL NOTE SB 2 Page 3 of 4 Cost of COLAs under SB 2 SB 2 gives the boards of trustees the authority to grant a 1.5% to LASERS and TRSL and a 2.0% COLA to LSERS and STPOL. However, in no event will the COLA grant exceed the amount that can be paid for from the Experience Account. If a full 1.5% COLA is granted to eligible retirees, survivors, and beneficiaries of LASERS and TRSL and a full 2.0% COLA is granted to eligible retirees, survivors, and beneficiaries of LSERS and STPOL, then the total actuarial present value of future COLA payments for the four systems will be $379,763,726. Table 2 SB 2 COLA Effective July 1, 2016 LASERS TRSL LSERS STPOL Total 1.50% COLA 2.00% COLA Estimated Number of: Regular Retirees 33,575 58,751 10,146 696 103,168 Survivors & Beneficiaries 5, 834 6, 771 1,662 335 14,602 Disabled Retirees 2,457 4,121 331 62 6,971 Total 41,866 69,643 12,139 1,093 12 4,741 Actuarial Present Value of COLA a Regular Retirees $ 108,344,228 $ 203, 771,553 $ 22,323,370 $ 5,364,558 $ 339,803,709 Survivors and Beneficiaries 10,594,802 14,710,016 2,294,923 1,150,179 28,749,920 Disabled Retirees 4,189,763 6,199,640 486,257 334,437 11,210,097 Total $ 123,128,793 $ 224,681,209 $ 25,104,552 $ 6,849,175 $ 379,763,726 Estimated Balance in the Experience Account on June 30, 2016 b . $ 123,579,684 $ 226,356,559 $ 23,058,055 $ 12,416,791 $ 385,411,089 a. The liability is calculated using census data as of June 30, 2015 and rolled forward to June 30, 2016 . b. Assuming there is no allocation to the Experience Account on June 30, 2016 and the return on the actuarial value of assets for FYE 2016 is 0.0%. Under these conditions, all systems would be able to provide the full COLA amount except LSERS. The maximum benefit increase that LSERS could provide would be 1.837%. The increase in the present value of future benefits attributable to SB 2 is shown below: Table 3 Present Value of COLA Grant Increase System SB 2 Current Law LASERS $ 123,128,793 $ 10,178,647 $ 112,950,146 TRSL 224,681,209 18,573,647 206,107,562 LSERS 25,104,550 1,556,482 23,548,068 STPOL 6,849,174 424,649 6,424,525 Total $ 379,763,726 $ 30,733 ,424 $ 349,030,302 Other Post-Employment Benefits There are no actuarial costs associated with SB 2 for post-employment benefits other than pensions. Analysis of Fiscal Costs SB 2 will have the following effects on fiscal costs during the next five-year measurement period. Expenditures: 1. Expenditures from the General Fund will increase because the Experience Account has been emptied and becomes open to deposits of investment gains. 2. Expenditures from the General Fund will increase because investment gains deposited into the Experience Account will be treated as an actuarial loss and amortized over a 30-year period. Employer contribution requirements will increase. 3. Expenditures from each state retirement system (Agy Self-Generated) will increase beginning FYE 2017 to account for the additional COLA benefits. Year by year expenditures are summarized in Table 4 . 2016 REGULAR SESSION ACTUARIAL NOTE SB 2 Page 4 of 4 Table 4 Fiscal Year Increase in LASERS Expenditures Increase in TRSL Expenditures Increase in LSERS Expenditures Increase in STPOL Expenditures Total Increase in Expenditures 2016-17 $ 12,006,160 $ 25,874,559 $ 2,867,187 $ 645,552 $ 41,393, 458 2017-18 11,616,068 25,882,507 2,679,340 619,792 40,797,707 2018-19 11,194,587 25,901,468 2,494,090 595,681 40,185,826 2019-20 10,756,994 25,766,804 2,311,587 571,945 39,407,330 2020-21 10,294,891 25,577,556 2,132,007 548,186 38,552,640 Total $ 55,868,700 $ 129,002,893 $ 12,484,211 $ 2,981,156 $ 200,336,961 4. Expenditures from Local Funds will increase because employer contributions to TRSL and LSERS will increase. Revenues: • Revenues for each state retirement system (Agy Self-Generated) will increase as employer contributions increase. Actuarial Data, Methods and Assumptions This actuarial note was prepared using actuarial data, methods, and assumptions as disclosed in the most recent actuarial valuation report approved by PRSAC. These assumptions and methods are in compliance with actuarial standards of practice. This data, methods, and assumptions are being used to provide consistency with the actuary for the retirement system who may also be providing testimony to the Senate and House retirement committees. Actuarial Caveat There is nothing in SB 2 that will compromise the signing actuary’s ability to present an unbiased statement of actuarial opinion. Actuarial Credentials: Paul T. Richmond is the Manager of Actuarial Services for the Louisiana Legislative Auditor. He is an Enrolled Actuary, a member of the American Academy of Actuaries, a member of the Society of Actuaries and has met the Qualification Standards of the American Academy of Actuaries necessary to render the actuarial opinion contained herein. Dual Referral: Senate House x 13.5.1: Annual Fiscal Cost ≥ $100,000 x 6.8(F)(1): Annual Fiscal Cost ≥ $100,000 13.5.2: Annual Tax or Fee Change ≥ $500,000 6.8(F)(2): Annual Revenue Reduction ≥ $100,000 6.8(G): Annual Tax or Fee Change ≥ $500,000