Fiscal impact reports (FIRs) are prepared by the Legislative Finance Committee (LFC) for standing finance committees of the Legislature. LFC does not assume responsibility for the accuracy of these reports if they are used for other purposes. F I S C A L I M P A C T R E P O R T SPONSOR Gallegos/Serrato/Herndon/Lundstrom/ Johnson LAST UPDATED ORIGINAL DATE 01/31/2025 SHORT TITLE Saturday After Thanksgiving GRT Sunset BILL NUMBER House Bill 179 ANALYST Faubion REVENUE* (dollars in thousands) Type FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28 FY29 Recurring or Nonrecurring Fund Affected GRT ($559.5) ($577.5) ( $589.8) ($602.2) ($615.0) Recurring General Fund GRT ($372.6) ($384.7) ($392.8) ($401.1) ($409.6) Recurring Local Governments Parentheses ( ) indicate revenue decreases. *Amounts reflect most recent analysis of this legislation. ESTIMATED ADDITIONAL OPERATING BUDGET IMPACT* (dollars in thousands) Agency/Program FY25 FY26 FY27 3 Year Total Cost Recurring or Nonrecurring Fund Affected TRD Indeterminate but minimal Indeterminate but minimal Indeterminate but minimal Nonrecurring General Fund Parentheses ( ) indicate expenditure decreases. *Amounts reflect most recent analysis of this legislation. Sources of Information LFC Files 2024 Tax Expenditure Report Agency Analysis was Solicited but Not Received From Taxation and Revenue Department (TRD) Because of the short timeframe between the introduction of this bill and its first hearing, LFC has yet to receive analysis from state, education, or judicial agencies. This analysis could be updated if that analysis is received. SUMMARY Synopsis of House Bill 179 House Bill 179 (HB179) extends the sunset for the small business Saturday Thanksgiving weekend gross receipts tax (GRT) deduction from the end of fiscal year 2025 to the end of fiscal year 2030. The bill also requires the deduction, including the total annual aggregate cost of the deduction, be included in the tax expenditure budget. This bill does not contain an effective date and, as a result, would go into effect 90 days after the Legislature adjourns, or June 20, 2025, if enacted. House Bill 179 – Page 2 FISCAL IMPLICATIONS As reported in the 2024 Tax Expenditure Report, this deduction cost the state general fund $542 thousand and local governments $361 thousand in fiscal year 2024. LFC estimates future costs by growing the FY24 reported costs by S&P Global’s inflation forecast, excluding food and energy, to account for increasing prices for retail goods. This bill creates or expands a tax expenditure. Estimating the cost of tax expenditures is difficult. Confidentiality requirements surrounding certain taxpayer information create uncertainty, and analysts must frequently interpret third-party data sources. The statutory criteria for a tax expenditure may be ambiguous, further complicating the initial cost estimate of the fiscal impact. Once a tax expenditure has been approved, information constraints continue to create challenges in tracking the real costs (and benefits) of tax expenditures. There could be minimal costs to the Taxation and Revenue Department to extend this deduction. This analysis could be updated if that analysis is received. SIGNIFICANT ISSUES Receipts from retail sales of specified tangible personal property are deductible from GRT if the sale occurs during the first Saturday after the Thanksgiving holiday. The deduction may be taken on sales of property with a value of less than $500. Qualified retailers must be a business in New Mexico and have employed no more than 10 employees at any one time in the previous fiscal year. The deduction is like the back-to-school tax free weekend, which is widely used in New Mexico. This deduction, however, restricts purchases to those made at small businesses and is believed to have much lower usage. While the deduction may result in a small increase in purchases at small businesses during the popular holiday shopping season, the overall benefit is limited. The number of businesses that claimed the deduction has increased since FY21, which may indicate a post-pandemic recovery of small businesses. This bill narrows the GRT. Many New Mexico tax reform efforts over the last few years have focused on broadening the GRT base and lowering the rates. Narrowing the base leads to continually rising GRT rates, increasing volatility in the state’s largest general fund revenue source. Higher rates compound tax pyramiding issues and force consumers and businesses to pay higher taxes on all other purchases without an exemption, deduction, or credit. PERFORMANCE IMPLICATIONS The LFC tax policy of accountability is met with the bill’s requirement to report annually in the tax expenditure budget the data compiled from the reports from taxpayers taking the deduction. OTHER SUBSTANT IVE ISSUES In assessing all tax legislation, LFC staff considers whether the proposal is aligned with committee-adopted tax policy principles. Those five principles: House Bill 179 – Page 3 Adequacy: Revenue should be adequate to fund needed government services. Efficiency: Tax base should be as broad as possible and avoid excess reliance on one tax. Equity: Different taxpayers should be treated fairly. Simplicity: Collection should be simple and easily understood. Accountability: Preferences should be easy to monitor and evaluate In addition, staff reviews whether the bill meets principles specific to tax expenditures. Those policies and how this bill addresses those issues: Tax Expenditure Policy Principle Met? Comments Vetted: The proposed new or expanded tax expenditure was vetted through interim legislative committees, such as LFC and the Revenue Stabilization and Tax Policy Committee, to review fiscal, legal, and general policy parameters. ? No record of an interim committee hearing can be found. Targeted: The tax expenditure has a clearly stated purpose, long-term goals, and measurable annual targets designed to mark progress toward the goals. There are no stated purposes, goals, or targets. Clearly stated purpose Long-term goals Measurable targets Transparent: The tax expenditure requires at least annual reporting by the recipients, the Taxation and Revenue Department, and other relevant agencies. The deduction must be reported publicly in the TER. The deduction does have an expiration date. Accountable: The required reporting allows for analysis by members of the public to determine progress toward annual targets and determination of effectiveness and efficiency. The tax expenditure is set to expire unless legislative action is taken to review the tax expenditure and extend the expiration date. Public analysis Expiration date Effective: The tax expenditure fulfills the stated purpose. If the tax expenditure is designed to alter behavior – for example, economic development incentives intended to increase economic growth – there are indicators the recipients would not have performed the desired actions “but for” the existence of the tax expenditure. ? There are no stated purposes, goals, or targets with which to measure effectiveness or efficiency. Fulfills stated purpose Passes “but for” test Efficient: The tax expenditure is the most cost-effective way to achieve the desired results. ? Key: Met Not Met ? Unclear JF/hj/SL2/sgs