HB 299 - SB 295 FISCAL NOTE Fiscal Review Committee Tennessee General Assembly March 14, 2025 Fiscal Analyst: Laura Moore | Email: laura.moore@capitol.tn.gov | Phone: 615-741-2564 HB 299 - SB 295 SUMMARY OF BILL: Entitles dependent children under 23 years of age whose parent, while serving honorably as a member of the United States Armed Forces during a qualifying period of armed conflict, sustained a service-connected disability determined by the Veteran's Administration (VA) to be a 100 percent permanent total disability, or the spouse of such veteran, to a waiver of tuition and fees upon admission to any public institution of higher education in this state. Requires the veteran to be a citizen of this state when the child or spouse applies for the waiver of tuition and fees. Requires a spouse to enroll within 10 years of the veteran’s disability determination. Removes spouse eligibility upon dissolution of marriage. FISCAL IMPACT: STATE GOVERNMENT REVENUE TBR University of Tennessee Locally Governed Institutions FY25-26 & Subsequent Years ($2,783,600) ($10,162,100) ($13,594,800) EXPENDITURES Tennessee Promise Scholarship Special Reserve Account FY25-26 & Subsequent Years $289,800 OTHER FISCAL IMPACT Any additional reimbursement in future years to institutions for waivers is subject to appropriation by the General Assembly pursuant to Tenn. Code Ann. § 49-7-119(c). The precise amount of any additional expenditures is dependent upon action by the General Assembly and cannot be reasonably determined. Assumptions: • Based on data found on the United States Department of Veterans Affairs’ website, in 2023 there were 434,646 total veterans residing in Tennessee. Of those 434,646, approximately 36,446, or 8.39 percent [(36,446 /434,646) x 100], are classified as having a 100 percent service-connected permanent and total disability. Further, an estimated 150,037 Tennessee HB 299 - SB 295 2 veterans are between the ages of 35 and 59 and are estimated to be in an age range likely to have dependent children of college age. • Assuming a similar percentage rate of such disabled veterans to the 2023 population of qualifying age range veterans, there are approximately 12,588 veterans (150,037 qualifying veterans ages x 8.39% ranked 100 percent disability of total veteran population) estimated to be 100 percent service-connected disabled and of an age to likely have college-aged dependents. • According to the “2023 Demographics Profile of the Military Community” report published by the United States Department of Defense, an estimated 37 percent of military families have dependent children under 22 years of age. Further, military members have an average of two children. • Based on demographic data, 21.7 percent of those dependents are 18-22 years of age, resulting in approximately 2,021 dependents [((12,588 x 2) x 37% x 21.7%)] who are of college age and whose guardian is a resident veteran ranked as 100 percent disabled. • Found in the Tennessee Higher Education Commission (THEC) Tennessee College Going & The Class of 2023 Report, the state-wide college-going rate was 56.7 percent in Tennessee and approximately 73.7 percent will attend an in-state public institution of higher education. This results in an estimated total of 845 (2,021 dependents x 56.7% x 73.7%). • Based on information found in the “Veterans Education Transition Support 2024 Report” issued by THEC, it is estimated that of those dependents: o 51 percent, or 431 (845 x 51%), will attend a locally governed institution (LGI); o 28.6 percent, or 242 (845 x 28.6%), will attend a college in the University of Tennessee System (UT System) and; o 20.4 percent, or 172 (845 x 20.4 %), will attend a Tennessee Board of Regents College (TBR). • According to the “2023 Demographics Profile of the Military Community” report, an estimated 48.8 percent of Active Duty Members are married. The number of 100 percent permanent total disability veterans married is unknown. For this analysis, it is assumed a similar percentage of such veterans are also married. • The estimated number of qualifying spouses of such veterans is 17,786 (36,446 x disability x 48.8% married). It is assumed that approximately 10 percent, or 1,779, (17,786 x 10%) of those spouses would go to college. • It is reasonably assumed: o 51 percent, or 907 (1,779 x 51%), will attend a locally governed institution (LGI); o 28.6 percent, or 509 (1,779 x 28.6%), will attend a college in the University of Tennessee System (UT System) and; o 20.4 percent, or 363 (1,779 x 20.4 %), will attend a Tennessee Board of Regents College (TBR). • The average cost of undergraduate in-state tuition and fees in FY23-24 is as follows: o $9,766 LGIs; o $12,255 UT System; and o $5,001 TBR • Assuming a minimum increase in tuition of two percent per year, the decrease to state revenue for these dependents to use a tuition-free waiver in FY25-26 is estimated to exceed: o $13,594,811 [($9,766 tuition x 102% growth x 102% growth) x (431 dependents + 907 spouses)] for LGIs; HB 299 - SB 295 3 o $10,162,113 [($12,255 tuition x 102% growth x 102% growth) x (242 dependents + 509 spouses)] for UT System; o $2,783,626 [($5,001 tuition x 102% growth x 102% growth) x (172 dependents + 363 spouses)] for TBR. • These dependents may be eligible for other merit-based scholarships such as TN HOPE and other education benefits; however, the dollar amount awarded to these students would be in addition to the waived in-state tuition. • Students receiving the waiver would be ineligible for the TN Promise scholarship as it is a last-dollar scholarship. • TN Promise rule 1640-01-26-.02(6), states tuition waivers and discounts for which students or parents qualify must first be deducted from tuition and mandatory fees before gift aid (TELS, TSAA, or Pell Grant) is credited, therefore a portion of the dependents eligible for the waived tuition would have received a TN Promise award in the absence of this legislation. Therefore, there will be a decrease in total TN Promise awards. • Based on public full-time enrollment data found in the 2023-2024 Tennessee Higher Education Fact Book an estimated 69,611 students were enrolled full-time at a TN Promise eligible public institution. • According the Tennessee Education Lottery Scholarship Program 2024 Summary Report issued by THEC in 2023-2024, 12,717 of the 69,611 students, or 18.27 percent [(12,717 / 69,611 x 100)], were full-time Promise students at public institutions and received an average award of $1,882. • It is estimated that 154 (845 dependents x 18.27% Promise recipients) of the dependents eligible for waived tuition would have received a Promise award in the absence of this legislation, resulting in a recurring decrease in state expenditures exceeding $289,828 (154 x $1,882 average award) to the Tennessee Promise Scholarship Special Reserve Account, beginning in FY24-25. • Pursuant to Tenn. Code Ann. § 49-7-119(c), reimbursement to state-supported colleges, universities, and vocational-technical schools is limited to the availability of state funds that are specifically appropriated for fee waivers and discount programs by the General Assembly. • Institutions receive a proportional distribution of available funds based on each school’s share of the total amount of tuition and fee waivers used. Historically, the amount has averaged reimbursements of about 10.35 percent of the total amount of fee waivers and discounts issued. • According to the THEC, these waivers will be required to occur regardless of reimbursement. • Any additional reimbursement is subject to appropriations by the General Assembly pursuant to Tenn. Code Ann. § 49-7-119(c); the precise amount of any additional expenditures is dependent upon action by the General Assembly and cannot be reasonably determined. HB 299 - SB 295 4 CERTIFICATION: The information contained herein is true and correct to the best of my knowledge. Bojan Savic, Executive Director