SB 6001 – HB 6004 FISCAL NOTE Fiscal Review Committee Tennessee General Assembly January 23, 2025 Fiscal Analyst: Alan Hampton | Email: alan.hampton@capitol.tn.gov | Phone: 615-741-2564 SB 6001 – HB 6004 SUMMARY OF BILL: Enacts the Education Freedom Act of 2025. Establishes an Education Freedom Scholarship (EFS) Program administered by the Department of Education (DOE) for the purpose of providing eligible students in this state with a scholarship to be used toward the cost of attending a Category I, II, or III private school for the 2025-26 school year or subsequent years. Requires each private school that enrolls EFS recipients to annually administer a nationally standardized achievement test or the Tennessee Comprehensive Assessment Program (TCAP) test to recipients in grades three through eleven (3-11), and to provide the results of the tests to the Office of Research and Education Accountability (OREA) within the Comptroller of the Treasury (COT), which must be annually reported to the education committees of the General Assembly. Beginning with the Tennessee Investment in Student Achievement (TISA) allocation for the 2025- 26 school year, if a local education agency’s (LEA's) TISA allocation for the current school year is less than the LEA's TISA allocation for the immediately preceding school year, and if the LEA experienced disenrollment, requires the DOE to allocate additional funds to the LEA such that the LEA's TISA allocation for the current school year combined with the amount of any such additional funds is equal to the LEA's TISA allocation for the immediately preceding school year. Beginning with the TISA allocation for the 2026-27 school year, if an LEA has ever received such additional funds, and if an LEA's TISA allocation for the current school year is less than the sum total of the LEA's TISA allocation for the immediately preceding school year and the amount of any additional funds received by the LEA for the immediately preceding school year, and if the LEA experienced disenrollment, then the DOE shall allocate additional funds to the LEA such that the LEA's TISA allocation for the current school year is equal to the sum total of the LEA's TISA allocation for the immediately preceding school year and the amount of any additional funds received by the LEA for the immediately preceding school year. Establishes that any additional funds provided to an LEA must be solely state funded. If an LEA is eligible for the proposed additional funds and Basic Education Program (BEP) Transition Funding or five percent Safety Net funding, then the DOE is required to only award the proposed additional funds to the LEA. Requires the DOE to award a one-time bonus in the amount of $2,000 to each teacher employed in a kindergarten through grade twelve (K-12) school in this state for the 2024-25 school year. Requires the State Treasurer (Treasurer) to distribute 80 percent of the privilege tax collections on sports wagering, otherwise distributed to the Lottery for Education Account, into an account for use by LEAs for the construction and maintenance of public school buildings. SB 6001 – HB 6004 2 FISCAL IMPACT: STATE GOVERNMENT REVENUE General Fund Lottery for Education Account LEA School Building Improvement Fund FY25-26 - ($77,235,700) $77,235,700 FY26-27 - ($77,235,700) $77,235,700 FY27-28 & Subsequent Years - ($77,235,700) $77,235,700 EXPENDITURES General Fund TISA LEA School Building Improvement Fund FY25-26 $347,449,400 $3,328,700 $77,235,700 FY26-27 $191,261,800 NET ($44,933,600) $77,235,700 FY27-28 & Subsequent Years >$191,261,800 NET >($44,933,600) $77,235,700 Total Positions Required: 13 LOCAL GOVERNMENT REVENUE Mandatory FY25-26 $80,564,400 FY26-27 NET $32,302,100 FY27-28 & Subsequent Years NET Up to $32,302,100 OTHER FISCAL IMPACT The General Appropriations Act of 2024 allocated recurring funding in the amount of $144,200,000 for the Education Freedom Scholarship Program, beginning in FY24-25. A precise increase in permissive local expenditures for the construction and maintenance of public school buildings beginning in FY25-26 cannot be quantified. Assumptions: Education Freedom Scholarships: • An “eligible student” is defined as a resident of this state who is entitled to attend a public school, except for a student enrolled in a home school, as defined in Tenn. Code Ann. § 49- 6-3050, or in a church-related school, as defined in Tenn. Code Ann. § 49-50-801, with which the student’s parent is associated, registered, or is participating as a parent-teacher for purposes of Tenn. Code Ann. § 49-6-3050(a)(2) or (a)(3). SB 6001 – HB 6004 3 • The scholarship amount is equal to the base funding amount, or the dollar amount that each student generates towards the student's funding allocation in a given year, provided under TISA, and is solely state funded. • The TISA base funding amount is $7,075 for the 2024-25 school year. • The TISA funding formula was first implemented in FY23-24. Based on growth in the TISA base over the first two years of implementation, it is estimated that the TISA base funding amount and the average TISA payment will increase each year by an average of 3.13 percent. • The TISA base funding amount is estimated to increase as follows: o $7,296 ($7,075 x 1.0313) in FY25-26; o $7,524 ($7,296 x 1.0313) in FY26-27; and o Exceeds $7,524 in FY27-28 and subsequent years. • For the 2025-26 school year, 20,000 scholarships will be awarded as follows: o 10,000 scholarships for eligible students: ▪ Whose annual household income does not exceed 300 percent of the amount required for the student to qualify for free or reduced-price lunch; or ▪ Who meet the definition of eligible student to participate in the Tennessee Education Savings Account (ESA) Program or the Individualized Education Account (IEA) Program; and o 10,000 additional scholarships for eligible students regardless of whether the students meet the above eligibility requirements. • No student may receive a scholarship for the same school year in which the student is participating in the ESA Program or the IEA Program. • For the 2024-25 school year, 584 students participate in the IEA Program while 3,590 students are enrolled in the ESA Program. It is assumed that students participating in these programs will not seek participation in the EFS Program as benefits received through the programs, including, but not limited to, higher per-pupil funding amounts in the ESA Program, outweigh the benefits of the EFS Program. • The 2023-24 average daily membership (ADM) in Tennessee public schools was approximately 969,112. The ADM varies significantly from year to year, in part due to recent pandemic distortions. Therefore, no adjustments in subsequent years are made for the total student population. • In 2024-25, there are approximately 169,210 students enrolled in non-public Tennessee schools; 74,112 of those students are estimated to attend Category I, II, or III private schools. • The total number of students eligible to receive an EFS beginning in the 2025-26 school year is approximately 1,039,050 [(969,112 public students + 74,112 non-public students) - (584 IEA students + 3,590 ESA students)]. • The proposed legislation reserves 10,000 scholarships in FY25-26 for students who meet certain income restrictions. The maximum household income is 300 percent of the amount required for the student to qualify for reduced-price lunch. • In FY24-25, the income limit for a family of four to qualify for reduced-price lunch is $57,720. Therefore, a family of four whose income does not exceed $173,160 ($57,720 x 300%) is eligible to receive one of the 10,000 income-restricted scholarships in year one of the EFS program. SB 6001 – HB 6004 4 • Due to the established income threshold, it is assumed that applicants from both public and private schools will seek the scholarship funding. • Based on the statewide application of the proposed EFS Program, the income threshold, and the number of eligible students, it is assumed that all 20,000 scholarships will be awarded in the 2025-26 school year. • Twelve states have adopted school choice programs similar to the proposed EFS Program; however, multi-year data is only available for eight states. Based on data from these states, the scholarships will be awarded to 65 percent of students from private schools and to 35 percent of students from public schools. • It is estimated that 7,000 (20,000 x .35) scholarships will be awarded to public school students and 13,000 will be awarded to private school students in FY25-26. It is assumed that scholarships will continue to be awarded on a 65/35 basis in FY26-27 and subsequent years. • Beginning with the 2026-27 school year, and subject to the funds appropriated for scholarships together with any available funds returned to the Treasurer, if the number of applications received by the DOE during a program application period: o Exceeds 75 percent of the total number of scholarships available for the respective school year, then the DOE may increase the maximum number of scholarships available for the next school year by no more than 5,000 scholarships; or o Does not exceed 75 percent of the total number of scholarships available for the respective school year, then the maximum number of scholarships available for the next school year must remain the same as the maximum number of scholarships available for the prior school year. • Additionally, if the number of applications exceeds the number of scholarships available for the respective school year, the DOE will be required to prioritize students who received a scholarship in the prior year, then low income students, public school students or upcoming kindergarten students in public schools, and finally all other eligible students. • Based on school voucher program data from other states and the large pool of private school students that would be eligible for the EFS, it is estimated that demand will be sufficient to increase the maximum number of scholarships; therefore, 25,000 (20,000 + 5,000) scholarships will be awarded in the 2026-27 school year. • The EFS Program is projected to grow in subsequent years following the 2026-27 school year. • The total amount of scholarships awarded will result in an increase in state expenditures of: o $145,920,000 (20,000 x $7,296) in FY25-26; o $188,100,000 (25,000 x $7,524) in FY26-27; and o Exceeding $188,100,000 in FY27-28 and subsequent years. TISA and LEA Impacts: • The proposed legislation establishes that, beginning with the TISA allocation for the 2025- 26 year, if an LEA's TISA allocation for the current school year is less than the LEA's TISA allocation for the immediately preceding school year, and if the LEA experienced disenrollment, the DOE is required to allocate additional funds to the LEA such that the LEA's TISA allocation for the current school year combined with the amount of any additional funds received by the LEA is equal to the LEA's TISA allocation for the immediately preceding school year. SB 6001 – HB 6004 5 • If an LEA is eligible for the proposed additional funding as well as BEP Transition funding or five percent Safety Net funding, then the DOE shall only award the proposed additional funding. • The TISA funding formula relies on the prior year’s data to drive subsequent year allocations. Therefore, data from the 2024-25 school year will generate the funding to be allocated for the 2025-26 school year. • In year one (2025-26 school year) of the EFS Program, the state will contribute 71.5 percent toward the average TISA amount based on the ADM from the prior year. Therefore, LEAs will receive TISA funding for students who may have accepted an EFS and are no longer enrolled in public schools. • In year two (2026-27 school year) of the EFS Program, fewer students will be enrolled in public schools. As the TISA funding formula is directly tied to ADM, an LEA would typically receive less state funding if enrollment declines. • In FY25-26, LEAs that meet the criteria of both disenrollment of students and decreased TISA funding in the absence of this legislation will receive additional allocations to raise the TISA funding level to that of the previous fiscal year. • Based on the analysis of current TISA funding and ADMs of all LEAs, and assuming future growth in such funding and ADMs based on historical data, it is estimated that 12 LEAs will meet the criteria in FY25-26 and would experience a decrease in TISA funding of $3,328,662 in the absence of this legislation. • Per the proposed legislation, any additional funds provided to an LEA must be solely state funded. • The increase in state expenditures and an equivalent increase in local revenue to increase funding for those LEAs to the previous year’s level is estimated to be $3,328,662 in FY25- 26. • The number of scholarships awarded to public school students is estimated to be as follows: o 7,000 (20,000 x .35) in FY25-26; o 8,750 (25,000 x .35) in FY26-27; and o Exceeding 8,750 in FY27-28 and subsequent years. • For the 2024-2025 school year, the average TISA payment per pupil that is subject to the state and local share of 70/30 is $8,959. Such payment is estimated to increase as follows: o $9,239 ($8,959 x 1.0313) in FY25-26; o $9,528 ($9,239 x 1.0313) in FY26-27; and o Exceeding $9,528 in FY27-28 and subsequent years. • The direct funding that is funded 100 percent by state is estimated to be $480 for the 2024- 2025 school year. Such payment is estimated to increase as follows: o $495 ($480 x 1.0313) in FY25-26; o $510 ($495 x 1.0313) in FY26-27; and o Exceeding $510 in FY27-28 and subsequent years. • There will be a decrease in state expenditures and a corresponding decrease in local revenue of $50,257,200 [(7,000 x $9,528 x 70%) + (7,000 x $510)] in FY26-27 as a result of 7,000 scholarship recipients transferring from public to private schools in FY25-26. • These decreases will be offset to a certain extent by allocations to ensure that an LEA’s TISA allocation for FY26-27 is not less than that of FY25-26. Based on the analysis of current TISA funding and ADMs of all LEAs, and assuming future growth in such funding SB 6001 – HB 6004 6 and ADMs based on historical data, it is estimated that 15 LEAs will meet the criteria in FY26-27 and would qualify for total additional allocations of $5,323,643. The increase in state expenditures and an equivalent increase in local revenue to increase funding for those LEAs to the previous year’s level is estimated to be $5,323,643 in FY26-27. • The net decrease in state expenditures and the corresponding net decrease in local revenue is estimated to be $44,933,557 ($50,257,200 - $5,323,643) in FY26-27. • The impact to TISA funding and LEA allocations in subsequent years cannot be quantified with reasonable certainty due to multiple unknown variables, such as future TISA funding growth and future growth in ADM. However, the net decrease in state expenditures and the corresponding net decrease in local revenue is estimated to exceed $44,933,557. Administration of EFS Program and Total EFS Program Cost: • On May 26, 2023, the DOE entered into a contract with the vendor Student First Technologies to create and administer an online platform for the ESA and IEA programs. The contract is effective until May 25, 2028. • The contract includes an annual subscription and license fee of $695,000 for the platform, which is required to accommodate a minimum of 20,000 users. In addition, according to DOE, the current ESA Program team has 22 employees dedicated exclusively to the ESA Program that accounts for $2,600,000 in personnel salaries and benefits. • According to DOE, 11 positions (half of the existing ESA Program personnel) will be required to administer the EFS Program. Therefore, it is estimated the new positions will increase state expenditures by $1,300,000 ($2,600,000 x .50) in FY25-26 and subsequent years. • Based on further information from DOE, approximately $1,400,000 in operational funding is required for: the set-up of a new application, processing increased volume in applicants and vendors, support for participating students and vendors, and team operations. This compares to approximately $1,900,000 in operational funding for the existing ESA Program. • The total recurring increase in state expenditures for administration of the EFS Program is estimated to be $2,700,000 ($1,300,000 + $1,400,000), beginning in FY25-26. • The total increase in state expenditures from the General Fund for the EFS Program is estimated as follows: o $148,620,000 ($145,920,000 + $2,700,000) in FY25-26; o $190,800,000 ($188,100,000 + $2,700,000) in FY26-27; and o Exceeding $190,800,000 in FY27-28 and subsequent years. Test Administration: • As a condition of receiving a scholarship, EFS recipients in grades 3-11 who enroll in a private school will have to comply with certain state testing requirements. • Each private school that enrolls EFS recipients in grades 3-11 must annually administer to those students either: o A nationally standardized achievement test that is aligned to the respective school’s instructional plan and complies with rules established by the State Board of Education (SBE); or o The Tennessee Comprehensive Assessment Program (TCAP) test required for the grade in which the recipient is enrolled. SB 6001 – HB 6004 7 • The DOE’s contract with Pearson Inc. for the delivery of state assessments details the modes of test administration by grade-level and subject area and determines what assessment materials are required. The contract terminates June 2025, but it can be reasonably assumed the department will either extend such contract or enter a new one upon its expiration. • Chapter 0520-07-02 of the Rules of the SBE requires Category I, II, and III private schools, at least once each school year, to give a nationally standardized achievement test covering the areas of English language arts and math to each student in third through eleventh grades. • Given that Category I, II, and III private schools are already required to administer such testing, it is assumed that a private school participating in the EFS Program will administer a nationally standardized achievement test rather than the TCAP. The costs will be borne by each respective private school, resulting in no impact to state expenditures. • If a private school elects to administer the TCAP test to EFS students, the test administration can be accommodated within existing resources through the DOE’s current contract with Pearson Inc., and any impact to DOE is estimated to be not significant. • By June 30, 2026, and by each June 30 thereafter, each private school that enrolls EFS recipients must provide the test results to the recipient's parents and to the OREA within the COT. The data must be provided on a form developed by the OREA. • The OREA is required to: (1) analyze the test results by recipient grade level, household income level, sex, and race; and (2) submit an annual report to the education committees of the General Assembly detailing the results of the tests. • The OREA can create and submit the annual report utilizing existing staff and resources without any significant increase in state expenditures. Teacher Bonuses: • The proposed legislation requires the DOE to award a one-time bonus in the amount of $2,000 to each teacher employed in a K-12 public school in this state for the 2024-25 school year. It is assumed that bonuses will be paid in FY25-26. • Bonuses paid to teachers pursuant to this legislation are not part of the TISA and are solely state funded. • Based on data from DOE’s TNCompass platform and historical shifts in the total number of educators serving throughout the year, it is estimated that 86,000 teachers across various categories (excluding administrators or instructional supervisors) would be eligible to receive the bonus. • Providing teacher bonuses will increase state expenditures by $172,000,000 (86,000 x $2,000) in FY25-26. • Because the bonuses are completely state funded, to avoid any local impact it is assumed that the appropriation for bonuses must include the employer share of benefits. • The employer share of benefits is estimated to be 15.33 percent (6.2% Social Security + 1.45% Medicare + 7.68% Tennessee Consolidated Retirement System). • Providing the employer share of benefits will increase state expenditures by $26,367,600 ($172,000,000 x 15.33%) in FY25-26. • The total increase in state expenditures for teacher bonuses is estimated to be $198,367,600 ($172,000,000 + $26,367,600) in FY25-26. SB 6001 – HB 6004 8 Privilege Tax: • Tennessee Code Annotated § 4-49-104(e) requires 80 percent of the privilege tax collected on sports wagering to be deposited into the Lottery for Education Account, 15 percent to the General Fund for local governments, and 5 percent to the Department of Mental Health and Substance Abuse Services. • Under the proposed legislation, the Treasurer will be required to distribute 80 percent of the privilege tax collected into an LEA School Building Improvement Fund, for the construction and maintenance of public school buildings, instead of the Lottery for Education Account. • The Department of the Treasury (DOT) will require additional personnel and support services for the implementation and administration of this fund allocation as follows: o $160,800 ($120,000 salary + $40,800 benefits) for one position; o $201,000 ($150,000 salary + $51,000 benefits) for one position; and o $100,000 for support services including legal, audit, and communications. • The increase in state expenditures is estimated to be $461,800 ($160,800 + $201,000 + $100,000) in FY25-26 and subsequent years. • Based on information provided by the Tennessee Higher Education Commission, the Tennessee Lottery for Education Account revenue and expenditures from FY21-22 through FY23-24 are as follows: Revenue Lottery Sports Wagering Total FY21-22 $467,500,000 $36,700,000 $504,200,000 FY22-23 $497,400,000 $65,700,000 $563,100,000 FY23-24 $492,300,000 $70,100,000 $562,400,000 Expenditures Scholarships Administration Total FY21-22 $346,600,000 $7,400,000 $354,000,000 FY22-23* $427,100,000 $9,200,000 $436,300,000 FY23-24 $446,500,000 $9,300,000 $455,800,000 *HB 2152/SB 2405 of the 112 th General Assembly increased the HOPE Scholarship award amounts and expanded the Dual Enrollment Grant. • According to the Sports Wagering Advisory Council estimates presented to the State Funding Board on November 4, 2024, total privilege tax collections allocated to the Lottery for Education Account are estimated to be $77,235,690 in FY25-26. While future growth is possible, for the purposes of this fiscal analysis, such allocation is assumed to remain constant in subsequent years. • The decrease in state revenue to the Lottery for Education Account and corresponding increase in state revenue to the LEA School Building Improvement Fund is $77,235,690 in FY25-26 and subsequent years. • It is assumed there will be an equal increase in state expenditures from the LEA School Building Improvement Fund and corresponding increase in local revenue in FY25-26 and subsequent years. SB 6001 – HB 6004 9 • Any increase in permissive local expenditures beginning in FY25-26 cannot be quantified with reasonable certainty. Total Impacts: • The total increase in state expenditures to the General Fund is estimated as follows: o $347,449,400 ($148,620,000 + $198,367,600 + $461,800) in FY25-26; o $191,261,800 ($190,800,000 + $461,800) in FY26-27; and o Exceeding $191,261,800 in FY27-28 and subsequent years. • The increase in state TISA expenditures is estimated to be $3,328,662 in FY25-26. The net decrease in state TISA expenditures is estimated to be $44,933,557 in FY26-27 and exceed $44,933,557 in FY27-28 and subsequent years. • The decrease in state revenue to the Lottery for Education Account and corresponding increase in state revenue to and state expenditures from the LEA School Building Improvement Fund is estimated to be $77,235,690 in FY25-26 and subsequent years. • The total increase in local revenue is estimated to be $80,564,352 ($3,328,662 + $77,235,690) in FY25-26. The net increase in local revenue is estimated to be $32,302,133 ($77,235,690 - $44,933,557) in FY26-27, and be up to $32,302,133 in FY27-28 and subsequent years. CERTIFICATION: The information contained herein is true and correct to the best of my knowledge. Bojan Savic, Executive Director