LEGISLATIVE BUDGET BOARD Austin, Texas FISCAL NOTE, 82ND LEGISLATIVE REGULAR SESSION March 22, 2011 TO: Honorable Sid Miller, Chair, House Committee on Homeland Security & Public Safety FROM: John S O'Brien, Director, Legislative Budget Board IN RE:HB1810 by Burnam (Relating to the repeal of the driver responsibility program and to the replacement of the revenue derived from the driver responsibility program through an increase in the tax on cigarettes.), As Introduced Estimated Two-year Net Impact to General Revenue Related Funds for HB1810, As Introduced: a positive impact of $22,214,619 through the biennium ending August 31, 2013. Additionally, the bill will have a direct impact of a revenue loss to the Property Tax Relief Fund of($26,310,000) for the 2012-13 biennium. Any loss to the Property Tax Relief Fund will be made up with General Revenue of the same amount. LEGISLATIVE BUDGET BOARD Austin, Texas FISCAL NOTE, 82ND LEGISLATIVE REGULAR SESSION March 22, 2011 TO: Honorable Sid Miller, Chair, House Committee on Homeland Security & Public Safety FROM: John S O'Brien, Director, Legislative Budget Board IN RE:HB1810 by Burnam (Relating to the repeal of the driver responsibility program and to the replacement of the revenue derived from the driver responsibility program through an increase in the tax on cigarettes.), As Introduced TO: Honorable Sid Miller, Chair, House Committee on Homeland Security & Public Safety FROM: John S O'Brien, Director, Legislative Budget Board IN RE: HB1810 by Burnam (Relating to the repeal of the driver responsibility program and to the replacement of the revenue derived from the driver responsibility program through an increase in the tax on cigarettes.), As Introduced Honorable Sid Miller, Chair, House Committee on Homeland Security & Public Safety Honorable Sid Miller, Chair, House Committee on Homeland Security & Public Safety John S O'Brien, Director, Legislative Budget Board John S O'Brien, Director, Legislative Budget Board HB1810 by Burnam (Relating to the repeal of the driver responsibility program and to the replacement of the revenue derived from the driver responsibility program through an increase in the tax on cigarettes.), As Introduced HB1810 by Burnam (Relating to the repeal of the driver responsibility program and to the replacement of the revenue derived from the driver responsibility program through an increase in the tax on cigarettes.), As Introduced Estimated Two-year Net Impact to General Revenue Related Funds for HB1810, As Introduced: a positive impact of $22,214,619 through the biennium ending August 31, 2013. Additionally, the bill will have a direct impact of a revenue loss to the Property Tax Relief Fund of($26,310,000) for the 2012-13 biennium. Any loss to the Property Tax Relief Fund will be made up with General Revenue of the same amount. Estimated Two-year Net Impact to General Revenue Related Funds for HB1810, As Introduced: a positive impact of $22,214,619 through the biennium ending August 31, 2013. Additionally, the bill will have a direct impact of a revenue loss to the Property Tax Relief Fund of($26,310,000) for the 2012-13 biennium. Any loss to the Property Tax Relief Fund will be made up with General Revenue of the same amount. General Revenue-Related Funds, Five-Year Impact: Fiscal Year Probable Net Positive/(Negative) Impact to General Revenue Related Funds 2012 $30,313,332 2013 ($8,098,713) 2014 ($18,636,673) 2015 ($33,896,673) 2016 ($22,357,673) 2012 $30,313,332 2013 ($8,098,713) 2014 ($18,636,673) 2015 ($33,896,673) 2016 ($22,357,673) All Funds, Five-Year Impact: Fiscal Year Probable Savings/(Cost) fromGeneral Revenue Fund1 Probable Revenue Gain/(Loss) fromGeneral Revenue Fund1 Probable Revenue Gain/(Loss) fromProperty Tax Relief Fund304 Probable Revenue Gain/(Loss) fromTrauma Facility And Ems5111 2012 $12,284,332 $18,029,000 ($12,500,000) $18,654,000 2013 $12,700,287 ($20,799,000) ($13,810,000) ($19,529,000) 2014 $13,134,327 ($31,771,000) ($12,011,000) ($30,108,000) 2015 $13,134,327 ($47,031,000) ($12,860,000) ($45,343,000) 2016 $13,134,327 ($35,492,000) ($11,185,000) ($33,785,000) Fiscal Year Change in Number of State Employees from FY 2011 2012 (23.5) 2013 (35.0) 2014 (47.0) 2015 (47.0) 2016 (47.0) Fiscal Year Probable Savings/(Cost) fromGeneral Revenue Fund1 Probable Revenue Gain/(Loss) fromGeneral Revenue Fund1 Probable Revenue Gain/(Loss) fromProperty Tax Relief Fund304 Probable Revenue Gain/(Loss) fromTrauma Facility And Ems5111 2012 $12,284,332 $18,029,000 ($12,500,000) $18,654,000 2013 $12,700,287 ($20,799,000) ($13,810,000) ($19,529,000) 2014 $13,134,327 ($31,771,000) ($12,011,000) ($30,108,000) 2015 $13,134,327 ($47,031,000) ($12,860,000) ($45,343,000) 2016 $13,134,327 ($35,492,000) ($11,185,000) ($33,785,000) 2012 $12,284,332 $18,029,000 ($12,500,000) $18,654,000 2013 $12,700,287 ($20,799,000) ($13,810,000) ($19,529,000) 2014 $13,134,327 ($31,771,000) ($12,011,000) ($30,108,000) 2015 $13,134,327 ($47,031,000) ($12,860,000) ($45,343,000) 2016 $13,134,327 ($35,492,000) ($11,185,000) ($33,785,000) Fiscal Year Change in Number of State Employees from FY 2011 2012 (23.5) 2013 (35.0) 2014 (47.0) 2015 (47.0) 2016 (47.0) 2012 (23.5) 2013 (35.0) 2014 (47.0) 2015 (47.0) 2016 (47.0) Fiscal Analysis The bill would amend the Health & Safety Code and the Transportation Code to repeal the Driver Responsibility Program (DRP), and make other conforming changes to the Code of Criminal Procedure and the Education Code. The bill would amend Chapter 154 of the Tax Code, regarding the cigarette tax, to increase the tax rate on cigarettes weighing less than three pounds per thousand cigarettes to $76.50 per thousand cigarettes ($1.53 per pack of 20 cigarettes) from $70.50 per thousand cigarettes ($1.41 per pack). The tax rate on cigarettes weighing more than three pounds per thousand would correspondingly increase to $78.60 per thousand from $72.60 per thousand. The bill would amend the Code of Criminal Procedure by requiring the Texas Department of Public Safety (DPS) to designate, by rule, the offenses that would constitute a moving violation of the traffic law for the purpose of assessing court costs on convictions to fund a statewide repository for data related to civil justice. The bill would repeal Chapter 708 of the Transportation Code, regarding the DRP. The bill would take effect September 1, 2011. Methodology DRP surcharges are imposed on persons for a period of 36 months. The bill's repeal of DRP would not forgive surcharges assessed prior to the effective date of the bill, or any outstanding surcharges, or penalties from earlier years. Estimated revenue impacts were derived from the 2012-2013 Biennial Revenue Estimate, adjusted for remittances for prior surcharges assessed which will accrue to the state through fiscal 2013 and projected through 2016. Since surcharges assessed prior to the effective date of the bill will continue to be collected it is assumed DPS will maintain a reduced level of full-time equivalents to administer the program during the next biennium. Beginning in fiscal year 2012 a savings will be realized from a reduction in costs relating to vendor base compensation for the collection of surcharges. The proposed tax rate increases would have a negative effect on the taxable consumption of cigarettes and other tobacco products in Texas. Potential revenue collections were adjusted for consumption and tax avoidance effects and for collection lags. This analysis assumed that allocations would begin when the new tax revenue reached the State Treasury, which would be approximately one month following the bill's effective date. DRP surcharges are imposed on persons for a period of 36 months. The bill's repeal of DRP would not forgive surcharges assessed prior to the effective date of the bill, or any outstanding surcharges, or penalties from earlier years. Estimated revenue impacts were derived from the 2012-2013 Biennial Revenue Estimate, adjusted for remittances for prior surcharges assessed which will accrue to the state through fiscal 2013 and projected through 2016. Since surcharges assessed prior to the effective date of the bill will continue to be collected it is assumed DPS will maintain a reduced level of full-time equivalents to administer the program during the next biennium. Beginning in fiscal year 2012 a savings will be realized from a reduction in costs relating to vendor base compensation for the collection of surcharges. The proposed tax rate increases would have a negative effect on the taxable consumption of cigarettes and other tobacco products in Texas. Potential revenue collections were adjusted for consumption and tax avoidance effects and for collection lags. This analysis assumed that allocations would begin when the new tax revenue reached the State Treasury, which would be approximately one month following the bill's effective date. Technology The Department of Public Safety reports that systems analysis and programming changes would be needed as a result of this bill; the cost of these changes could be absorbed. The Department of Public Safety reports that systems analysis and programming changes would be needed as a result of this bill; the cost of these changes could be absorbed. Local Government Impact No fiscal implication to units of local government is anticipated. Source Agencies: 304 Comptroller of Public Accounts, 405 Department of Public Safety 304 Comptroller of Public Accounts, 405 Department of Public Safety LBB Staff: JOB, ESi, SD, AG JOB, ESi, SD, AG