LEGISLATIVE BUDGET BOARD Austin, Texas FISCAL NOTE, 83RD LEGISLATIVE REGULAR SESSION March 17, 2013 TO: Honorable Bill Callegari, Chair, House Committee On Pensions FROM: Ursula Parks, Director, Legislative Budget Board IN RE:HB1383 by Keffer (Relating to the state contribution for the Teacher Retirement System of Texas.), As Introduced Estimated Two-year Net Impact to General Revenue Related Funds for HB1383, As Introduced: a negative impact of ($349,151,426) through the biennium ending August 31, 2015. The bill would make no appropriation but could provide the legal basis for an appropriation of funds to implement the provisions of the bill. LEGISLATIVE BUDGET BOARD Austin, Texas FISCAL NOTE, 83RD LEGISLATIVE REGULAR SESSION March 17, 2013 TO: Honorable Bill Callegari, Chair, House Committee On Pensions FROM: Ursula Parks, Director, Legislative Budget Board IN RE:HB1383 by Keffer (Relating to the state contribution for the Teacher Retirement System of Texas.), As Introduced TO: Honorable Bill Callegari, Chair, House Committee On Pensions FROM: Ursula Parks, Director, Legislative Budget Board IN RE: HB1383 by Keffer (Relating to the state contribution for the Teacher Retirement System of Texas.), As Introduced Honorable Bill Callegari, Chair, House Committee On Pensions Honorable Bill Callegari, Chair, House Committee On Pensions Ursula Parks, Director, Legislative Budget Board Ursula Parks, Director, Legislative Budget Board HB1383 by Keffer (Relating to the state contribution for the Teacher Retirement System of Texas.), As Introduced HB1383 by Keffer (Relating to the state contribution for the Teacher Retirement System of Texas.), As Introduced Estimated Two-year Net Impact to General Revenue Related Funds for HB1383, As Introduced: a negative impact of ($349,151,426) through the biennium ending August 31, 2015. The bill would make no appropriation but could provide the legal basis for an appropriation of funds to implement the provisions of the bill. Estimated Two-year Net Impact to General Revenue Related Funds for HB1383, As Introduced: a negative impact of ($349,151,426) through the biennium ending August 31, 2015. The bill would make no appropriation but could provide the legal basis for an appropriation of funds to implement the provisions of the bill. General Revenue-Related Funds, Five-Year Impact: Fiscal Year Probable Net Positive/(Negative) Impact to General Revenue Related Funds 2014 ($116,196,644) 2015 ($232,954,782) 2016 ($232,954,782) 2017 ($232,954,782) 2018 ($232,954,782) 2014 ($116,196,644) 2015 ($232,954,782) 2016 ($232,954,782) 2017 ($232,954,782) 2018 ($232,954,782) All Funds, Five-Year Impact: Fiscal Year Probable Savings/(Cost) fromGeneral Revenue Fund1 Probable Savings/(Cost) fromEst Oth Educ & Gen Inco770 Probable Savings/(Cost) fromTRS Trust Account Fund960 2014 ($116,196,644) ($8,194,494) ($201,733) 2015 ($232,954,782) ($16,767,240) ($403,827) 2016 ($232,954,782) ($16,767,240) ($403,827) 2017 ($232,954,782) ($16,767,240) ($403,827) 2018 ($232,954,782) ($16,767,240) ($403,827) Fiscal Year Probable Savings/(Cost) fromGeneral Revenue Fund1 Probable Savings/(Cost) fromEst Oth Educ & Gen Inco770 Probable Savings/(Cost) fromTRS Trust Account Fund960 2014 ($116,196,644) ($8,194,494) ($201,733) 2015 ($232,954,782) ($16,767,240) ($403,827) 2016 ($232,954,782) ($16,767,240) ($403,827) 2017 ($232,954,782) ($16,767,240) ($403,827) 2018 ($232,954,782) ($16,767,240) ($403,827) 2014 ($116,196,644) ($8,194,494) ($201,733) 2015 ($232,954,782) ($16,767,240) ($403,827) 2016 ($232,954,782) ($16,767,240) ($403,827) 2017 ($232,954,782) ($16,767,240) ($403,827) 2018 ($232,954,782) ($16,767,240) ($403,827) Fiscal Analysis The bill would amend Government Code Section 825.404 to require the state to contribute at least 7.4 percent and not more than 10 percent of the aggregate annual compensation of all members of the Teacher Retirement System of Texas (TRS) during each fiscal year. The bill would add subsection (a-1) to require a state contribution rate of 6.9 percent of total compensation in fiscal year 2014 and 7.4 percent of total compensation in fiscal year 2015. The bill would take effect on September 1, 2013 or immediately if passed by the required voting margins. The bill would amend Government Code Section 825.404 to require the state to contribute at least 7.4 percent and not more than 10 percent of the aggregate annual compensation of all members of the Teacher Retirement System of Texas (TRS) during each fiscal year. The bill would add subsection (a-1) to require a state contribution rate of 6.9 percent of total compensation in fiscal year 2014 and 7.4 percent of total compensation in fiscal year 2015. The bill would take effect on September 1, 2013 or immediately if passed by the required voting margins. Methodology For purposes of this estimate, payroll calculations assume no annual payroll growth for public education employees and two percent annual payroll growth for higher education employees. Based on these payroll assumptions, the estimated cost to increase the state contribution rate in fiscal year 2014 from 6.4 percent to 6.9 percent of active payroll is $116.2 million from the General Revenue Fund and $124.6 million in All Funds. The estimated cost to increase the state contribution rate in fiscal year 2015 from 6.4 percent to 7.4 percent of active payroll is $232.9 million from the General Revenue Fund and $250.1 million in All Funds. For purposes of this estimate, the active member contribution rate remains at the statutorially required 6.4 percent of member payroll and it is assumed that the state contribution rate would remain at 7.4 percent for all future years. According to the TRS actuary, a 0.5 percent annual increase to the state contribution rate would not add any additional liabilities to the pension trust fund and the funding period would remain at infinite. For purposes of this estimate, payroll calculations assume no annual payroll growth for public education employees and two percent annual payroll growth for higher education employees. Based on these payroll assumptions, the estimated cost to increase the state contribution rate in fiscal year 2014 from 6.4 percent to 6.9 percent of active payroll is $116.2 million from the General Revenue Fund and $124.6 million in All Funds. The estimated cost to increase the state contribution rate in fiscal year 2015 from 6.4 percent to 7.4 percent of active payroll is $232.9 million from the General Revenue Fund and $250.1 million in All Funds. For purposes of this estimate, the active member contribution rate remains at the statutorially required 6.4 percent of member payroll and it is assumed that the state contribution rate would remain at 7.4 percent for all future years. According to the TRS actuary, a 0.5 percent annual increase to the state contribution rate would not add any additional liabilities to the pension trust fund and the funding period would remain at infinite. Local Government Impact No fiscal implication to units of local government is anticipated. Source Agencies: 323 Teacher Retirement System 323 Teacher Retirement System LBB Staff: UP, RB, JSc, JW UP, RB, JSc, JW