LEGISLATIVE BUDGET BOARD Austin, Texas FISCAL NOTE, 88TH LEGISLATIVE REGULAR SESSION April 24, 2023 TO: Honorable Brad Buckley, Chair, House Committee on Public Education FROM: Jerry McGinty, Director, Legislative Budget Board IN RE: HB2923 by Dutton (relating to the operation of free prekindergarten programs by certain school districts and to the early education allotment under the Foundation School Program.), Committee Report 1st House, Substituted Estimated Two-year Net Impact to General Revenue Related Funds for HB2923, Committee Report 1st House, Substituted : a negative impact of ($87,953,358) through the biennium ending August 31, 2025. The bill would make no appropriation but could provide the legal basis for an appropriation of funds to implement the provisions of the bill. General Revenue-Related Funds, Five- Year Impact: Fiscal Year Probable Net Positive/(Negative) Impact toGeneral Revenue Related Funds2024($43,006,317)2025($44,947,041)2026($47,392,086)2027($47,452,957)2028($46,323,993)All Funds, Five-Year Impact: Fiscal Year Probable Savings/(Cost) fromGeneral Revenue Fund1 Probable Savings/(Cost) fromFoundation School Fund193 Probable Savings/(Cost) fromRecapture Payments Atten Crdts89052024($42,452)($42,963,865)$4,934,0472025($127,357)($44,819,684)$5,934,5932026$0($47,392,086)$5,719,6392027$0($47,452,957)$6,313,6452028$0($46,323,993)$6,212,937 Fiscal AnalysisThe bill would require a school district to contract with a community-based child-care provider to offer a prekindergarten program if the Commissioner determines that a district election for the purpose of issuing bonds for the construction or repurposing of a classroom facility to provide a prekindergarten class has failed in the 24 months preceding the determination or the district is unable to adequately staff the prekindergarten class. The bill would also establish that districts would receive an additional allotment of 0.2 times the basicallotment for each student in average daily attendance (ADA) enrolled prekindergarten class required to be provided through a contract with a community-based child-care provider. The allotment would be capped at 2,000 ADA in fiscal year 2025, 4,500 ADA in fiscal year 2026, and 7,000 ADA in fiscal year 2027. In subsequent years the allotment would be capped at 10,000 ADA. The allotment would begin in fiscal year 2025. LEGISLATIVE BUDGET BOARD Austin, Texas FISCAL NOTE, 88TH LEGISLATIVE REGULAR SESSION April 24, 2023 TO: Honorable Brad Buckley, Chair, House Committee on Public Education FROM: Jerry McGinty, Director, Legislative Budget Board IN RE: HB2923 by Dutton (relating to the operation of free prekindergarten programs by certain school districts and to the early education allotment under the Foundation School Program.), Committee Report 1st House, Substituted TO: Honorable Brad Buckley, Chair, House Committee on Public Education FROM: Jerry McGinty, Director, Legislative Budget Board IN RE: HB2923 by Dutton (relating to the operation of free prekindergarten programs by certain school districts and to the early education allotment under the Foundation School Program.), Committee Report 1st House, Substituted Honorable Brad Buckley, Chair, House Committee on Public Education Honorable Brad Buckley, Chair, House Committee on Public Education Jerry McGinty, Director, Legislative Budget Board Jerry McGinty, Director, Legislative Budget Board HB2923 by Dutton (relating to the operation of free prekindergarten programs by certain school districts and to the early education allotment under the Foundation School Program.), Committee Report 1st House, Substituted HB2923 by Dutton (relating to the operation of free prekindergarten programs by certain school districts and to the early education allotment under the Foundation School Program.), Committee Report 1st House, Substituted Estimated Two-year Net Impact to General Revenue Related Funds for HB2923, Committee Report 1st House, Substituted : a negative impact of ($87,953,358) through the biennium ending August 31, 2025. The bill would make no appropriation but could provide the legal basis for an appropriation of funds to implement the provisions of the bill. Estimated Two-year Net Impact to General Revenue Related Funds for HB2923, Committee Report 1st House, Substituted : a negative impact of ($87,953,358) through the biennium ending August 31, 2025. The bill would make no appropriation but could provide the legal basis for an appropriation of funds to implement the provisions of the bill. The bill would make no appropriation but could provide the legal basis for an appropriation of funds to implement the provisions of the bill. General Revenue-Related Funds, Five- Year Impact: 2024 ($43,006,317) 2025 ($44,947,041) 2026 ($47,392,086) 2027 ($47,452,957) 2028 ($46,323,993) All Funds, Five-Year Impact: 2024 ($42,452) ($42,963,865) $4,934,047 2025 ($127,357) ($44,819,684) $5,934,593 2026 $0 ($47,392,086) $5,719,639 2027 $0 ($47,452,957) $6,313,645 2028 $0 ($46,323,993) $6,212,937 Fiscal Analysis The bill would require a school district to contract with a community-based child-care provider to offer a prekindergarten program if the Commissioner determines that a district election for the purpose of issuing bonds for the construction or repurposing of a classroom facility to provide a prekindergarten class has failed in the 24 months preceding the determination or the district is unable to adequately staff the prekindergarten class. The bill would also establish that districts would receive an additional allotment of 0.2 times the basicallotment for each student in average daily attendance (ADA) enrolled prekindergarten class required to be provided through a contract with a community-based child-care provider. The allotment would be capped at 2,000 ADA in fiscal year 2025, 4,500 ADA in fiscal year 2026, and 7,000 ADA in fiscal year 2027. In subsequent years the allotment would be capped at 10,000 ADA. The allotment would begin in fiscal year 2025. Methodology The Texas Education Agency assumes that approximately 23 districts would qualify for additional Foundation School Program (FSP) funding under the provisions of the bill. The 23 districts served 11,511 enrolled half-day prekindergarten students in the 2020-21 school year. The agency assumes that the bill would result in increased capacity and would double enrollment in these districts fiscal years 2024-28. The additional enrollment would incur a cost under the FSP.Additionally, the bill would provide an additional allotment of 0.2 times the basic allotment for each ADA enrolled in a prekindergarten class required to be provided through a contract with a community-based child-care provider. Applying the limits on the allotment and the assumptions regarding the 23 districts which would be eligible for half-day FSP funding, this analysis assumes that the cost to the FSP would be $43.0 million in fiscal year 2024, $44.8 million in fiscal year 2025, increasing to $46.3 million in fiscal year 2028. The cost to the FSP includes estimated decreases in Recapture Payments - Attendance Credits of $4.9 million in fiscal year 2024, $5.9 in fiscal year 2025, increasing to $6.2 million in fiscal year 2028. The decrease in recapture is reflected as a savings in the table above because recapture is appropriated as a method of finance for the FSP in the General Appropriations Act. Additionally, the bill would provide an additional allotment of 0.2 times the basic allotment for each ADA enrolled in a prekindergarten class required to be provided through a contract with a community-based child-care provider. Applying the limits on the allotment and the assumptions regarding the 23 districts which would be eligible for half-day FSP funding, this analysis assumes that the cost to the FSP would be $43.0 million in fiscal year 2024, $44.8 million in fiscal year 2025, increasing to $46.3 million in fiscal year 2028. The cost to the FSP includes estimated decreases in Recapture Payments - Attendance Credits of $4.9 million in fiscal year 2024, $5.9 in fiscal year 2025, increasing to $6.2 million in fiscal year 2028. The decrease in recapture is reflected as a savings in the table above because recapture is appropriated as a method of finance for the FSP in the General Appropriations Act. Additionally, the bill would provide an additional allotment of 0.2 times the basic allotment for each ADA enrolled in a prekindergarten class required to be provided through a contract with a community-based child-care provider. Technology The agency assumes there would be a state cost associated with development and implementation of new data reporting and analysis requirements. The fiscal impact is estimated to be $42,452 fiscal year 2024 and $127,357 in fiscal year 2025 for the initial development effort. Local Government Impact The agency assumes the districts that fit the conditions of the bill would have costs associated with soliciting partnerships and executing contracts with community-based child-care providers. However, it is assumed that any costs could reasonably be absorbed by the new funding provided under the bill. Source Agencies: b > td > 701 Texas Education Agency 701 Texas Education Agency LBB Staff: b > td > JMc, KSk, ASA, MJe JMc, KSk, ASA, MJe