II 119THCONGRESS 1 STSESSION S. 1378 To enhance the use by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of artificial intelligence for weather forecasting, and for other purposes. IN THE SENATE OF THE UNITED STATES APRIL9, 2025 Mr. S CHATZ(for himself, Mr. SHEEHY, Mr. LUJA´N, and Mr. WELCH) intro- duced the following bill; which was read twice and referred to the Com- mittee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation A BILL To enhance the use by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of artificial intelligence for weather fore- casting, and for other purposes. Be it enacted by the Senate and House of Representa-1 tives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, 2 SECTION 1. SHORT TITLE. 3 This Act may be cited as the ‘‘Transformational Arti-4 ficial intelligence to Modernize the Economy against Ex-5 treme Weather and Wildfires Act’’ or the ‘‘TAME Ex-6 treme Weather and Wildfires Act’’. 7 VerDate Sep 11 2014 02:15 Apr 18, 2025 Jkt 059200 PO 00000 Frm 00001 Fmt 6652 Sfmt 6201 E:\BILLS\S1378.IS S1378 kjohnson on DSK7ZCZBW3PROD with $$_JOB 2 •S 1378 IS SEC. 2. ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE FOR WEATHER FORE-1 CASTING. 2 (a) D EFINITIONS.—In this section: 3 (1) A RTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE.—The term ‘‘ar-4 tificial intelligence’’— 5 (A) has the meaning given that term in 6 section 5002 of the National Artificial Intel-7 ligence Initiative Act of 2020 (15 U.S.C. 9401); 8 and 9 (B) includes machine learning, neural net-10 works, and natural language processing. 11 (2) A RTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE WEATHER 12 MODEL.—The term ‘‘artificial intelligence weather 13 model’’ means a weather model based primarily on 14 artificial intelligence technology to project future 15 Earth system conditions based on machine learning 16 using weather forecasting training datasets. 17 (3) C URATE.—The term ‘‘curate’’, with respect 18 to a dataset, means— 19 (A) to collect and maintain the dataset— 20 (i) to ensure and document its quality; 21 and 22 (ii) to provide metadata on its prove-23 nance; and 24 (B) to update the dataset periodically, as 25 appropriate and practicable. 26 VerDate Sep 11 2014 02:15 Apr 18, 2025 Jkt 059200 PO 00000 Frm 00002 Fmt 6652 Sfmt 6201 E:\BILLS\S1378.IS S1378 kjohnson on DSK7ZCZBW3PROD with $$_JOB 3 •S 1378 IS (4) NUMERICAL WEATHER MODEL .—The term 1 ‘‘numerical weather model’’ means a weather model 2 based primarily on coupled Earth System processes 3 that uses numerical computation to forecast future 4 Earth system conditions. 5 (5) O BSERVATIONAL DATA .—The term ‘‘obser-6 vational data’’ means data and metadata from ac-7 tual observations of environmental conditions, in-8 cluding remote sensing and in situ platforms. 9 (6) S EASONAL, SUBSEASONAL, UNDER SEC-10 RETARY, WEATHER ENTERPRISE .—the terms ‘‘sea-11 sonal’’, ‘‘subseasonal’’, ‘‘Under Secretary’’, and 12 ‘‘weather enterprise’’ have the meanings given those 13 terms in section 2 of the Weather Research and 14 Forecasting Innovation Act of 2017 (15 U.S.C. 15 8501). 16 (7) S YNTHETIC DATA.—The term ‘‘synthetic 17 data’’ means data produced from a model or statis-18 tical method in order to fill gaps in observational 19 data. 20 (8) W EATHER DATA .—The term ‘‘weather 21 data’’ means information used to track and predict 22 weather conditions and patterns, including forecasts, 23 observations, and derivative products from such in-24 formation. 25 VerDate Sep 11 2014 02:15 Apr 18, 2025 Jkt 059200 PO 00000 Frm 00003 Fmt 6652 Sfmt 6201 E:\BILLS\S1378.IS S1378 kjohnson on DSK7ZCZBW3PROD with $$_JOB 4 •S 1378 IS (b) PURPOSE.—The purpose of this section is— 1 (1) to improve accuracy and timeliness of 2 weather, water, and space weather forecasts and ef-3 fective dissemination of critical information; 4 (2) to strengthen analytic capacity to inform re-5 source deployments in response to and to mitigate 6 harm from weather, water, wildfires, and space 7 weather hazards through the mandated exploration 8 and use of artificial intelligence by Federal agencies; 9 (3) to strengthen public-private partnerships to 10 accelerate adoption and outcomes of the use of arti-11 ficial intelligence in response to and to mitigate such 12 harm; and 13 (4) to strengthen public-private partnerships in 14 highly technical, high-risk, and high-reward fields re-15 lated to weather, water, wildfires, and space weather 16 forecasts. 17 (c) E ARTHSYSTEMFORECASTING AND INFORMA-18 TIONDELIVERY.— 19 (1) T RAINING DATASETS.—Not later than 4 20 years after the date of the enactment of this Act, the 21 Under Secretary, in consultation with the Secretary 22 of Energy, the Administrator of the National Aero-23 nautics and Space Administration, the Director of 24 the National Science Foundation, the Director of the 25 VerDate Sep 11 2014 02:15 Apr 18, 2025 Jkt 059200 PO 00000 Frm 00004 Fmt 6652 Sfmt 6201 E:\BILLS\S1378.IS S1378 kjohnson on DSK7ZCZBW3PROD with $$_JOB 5 •S 1378 IS National Center for Atmospheric Research, the 1 Interagency Council on Advancing Meteorological 2 Services, other appropriate Federal advisory commit-3 tees as determined by the Under Secretary, and such 4 other technical experts as the Under Secretary con-5 siders appropriate, shall develop and curate com-6 prehensive weather forecasting training datasets 7 with relevant Earth system data, quality informa-8 tion, and metadata necessary for weather fore-9 casting. 10 (2) U SE OF EXISTING DATASETS .—In order to 11 speed the development of the weather forecasting 12 training datasets required under paragraph (1), the 13 Under Secretary shall assess, and to the greatest ex-14 tent practicable build on, existing Earth system rea-15 nalysis datasets of the Federal Government. 16 (3) A RTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE WEATHER 17 MODEL.— 18 (A) G LOBAL MODEL.—In carrying out this 19 subsection, the Under Secretary, in consultation 20 with appropriate Federal advisory committees 21 as determined by the Under Secretary, may de-22 velop and test a global weather model based on 23 artificial intelligence technologies utilizing data 24 VerDate Sep 11 2014 02:15 Apr 18, 2025 Jkt 059200 PO 00000 Frm 00005 Fmt 6652 Sfmt 6201 E:\BILLS\S1378.IS S1378 kjohnson on DSK7ZCZBW3PROD with $$_JOB 6 •S 1378 IS of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Ad-1 ministration to the extent possible. 2 (B) R EGIONAL AND LOCAL MODELS .—In 3 addition to a global weather model under sub-4 paragraph (A), the Under Secretary may exper-5 iment with regional and local weather models 6 based on artificial intelligence technologies. 7 (4) U SE OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE TO DIS -8 SEMINATE INFORMATION .—In coordination with an 9 artificial intelligence weather model or models devel-10 oped under paragraph (3), the Under Secretary may 11 explore the use of artificial intelligence to enhance 12 the dissemination of information with respect to 13 weather and wildfire risks and evaluate the effective-14 ness of communication for improved public under-15 standing and preparedness. 16 (5) C ONTINUED SUPPORT FOR OBSERVATIONS , 17 BASIC RESEARCH, AND NUMERICAL WEATHER MOD -18 ELS.—Notwithstanding the requirements of this sub-19 section, the Under Secretary shall continue to sup-20 port and advance the activities of the National Oce-21 anic and Atmospheric Administration— 22 (A) to collect and acquire traditional and 23 novel observational data relevant for artificial 24 VerDate Sep 11 2014 02:15 Apr 18, 2025 Jkt 059200 PO 00000 Frm 00006 Fmt 6652 Sfmt 6201 E:\BILLS\S1378.IS S1378 kjohnson on DSK7ZCZBW3PROD with $$_JOB 7 •S 1378 IS intelligence and numerical weather, water, and 1 space weather forecasting; 2 (B) to advance research on the Earth sys-3 tem and numerical weather model forecasting; 4 (C) to develop and advance numerical 5 Earth system modeling for predictions; 6 (D) to develop weather model data post- 7 processing techniques; and 8 (E) to improve data assimilation tech-9 niques. 10 (6) O BSERVING SYSTEM COVERAGE .—In car-11 rying out this subsection, the Under Secretary may 12 evaluate the use of cost functions in data-driven ma-13 chine learning model training to balance inequities 14 in observing system coverage and data poor areas. 15 (7) U NCERTAINTY QUANTIFICATION RE -16 SEARCH.—In carrying out this subsection, the Under 17 Secretary may develop uncertainty quantification re-18 search for the purpose of accurate environmental 19 risk and hazard communications of probabilistic pre-20 dictions and forecasts. 21 (8) R EPORT.—Not later than 2 years after the 22 date of the enactment of this Act, and not less fre-23 quently than every 2 years thereafter through 2035, 24 the Under Secretary shall submit to the Committee 25 VerDate Sep 11 2014 02:15 Apr 18, 2025 Jkt 059200 PO 00000 Frm 00007 Fmt 6652 Sfmt 6201 E:\BILLS\S1378.IS S1378 kjohnson on DSK7ZCZBW3PROD with $$_JOB 8 •S 1378 IS on Commerce, Science, and Transportation of the 1 Senate and the Committee on Science, Space, and 2 Technology of the House of Representatives a report 3 on the activities conducted under this subsection. 4 (d) A DVANCEDARTIFICIALINTELLIGENCEAPPLICA-5 TIONS FORWEATHERFORECASTS ANDINFORMATIONDE-6 LIVERY.—The Under Secretary shall explore advanced ap-7 plications of artificial intelligence to improve weather fore-8 casts and information delivery, such as by— 9 (1) improving data assimilation; 10 (2) accounting for coupled Earth system proc-11 esses; 12 (3) improving readiness and preparedness to 13 combat wildfires, mitigation of the risk from 14 wildfires, and improving safety for firefighters and 15 communities at risk from wildfires; 16 (4) using artificial intelligence weather models 17 to generate ensemble forecasts to more accurately 18 assess flow-dependent forecast uncertainties; and 19 (5) improving impact-based decision support to 20 diverse users and communities for greater societal 21 benefits based on those forecasts. 22 (e) T ECHNICALASSISTANCE ONUSE OFARTIFICIAL 23 I NTELLIGENCEWEATHER, WATER, ANDSPACEWEATH-24 ERMODELS.— 25 VerDate Sep 11 2014 02:15 Apr 18, 2025 Jkt 059200 PO 00000 Frm 00008 Fmt 6652 Sfmt 6201 E:\BILLS\S1378.IS S1378 kjohnson on DSK7ZCZBW3PROD with $$_JOB 9 •S 1378 IS (1) IN GENERAL.—The Under Secretary shall 1 provide— 2 (A) technical assistance, data access, and 3 support for forecasters, scientists, social sci-4 entists, and engineers to test and evaluate the 5 use and effectiveness of the artificial intel-6 ligence models of the National Oceanic and At-7 mospheric Administration, including within the 8 testbeds of the Administration; 9 (B) best practices on providing forecasts 10 based on outputs from artificial intelligence 11 weather models and numerical weather models, 12 or a combination thereof; and 13 (C) support for emergency managers to 14 make operational decisions based on outputs 15 from artificial intelligence weather models and 16 numerical weather models, or a combination 17 thereof. 18 (2) A SSESSMENT OF WEATHER MODELS .— 19 (A) I N GENERAL.—The Under Secretary 20 shall support the development of a common 21 framework for the assessment of numerical 22 weather models and artificial intelligence weath-23 er models by comparing model output and ob-24 servational data over a period of time in the 25 VerDate Sep 11 2014 02:15 Apr 18, 2025 Jkt 059200 PO 00000 Frm 00009 Fmt 6652 Sfmt 6201 E:\BILLS\S1378.IS S1378 kjohnson on DSK7ZCZBW3PROD with $$_JOB 10 •S 1378 IS past through the use of such methodologies as 1 the Under Secretary considers appropriate. 2 (B) B EST PRACTICES.—In carrying out 3 this paragraph, the Under Secretary may de-4 velop and disseminate best practices in collabo-5 ration with— 6 (i) the National Institute of Standards 7 and Technology, the National Aeronautics 8 and Space Administration, the National 9 Science Foundation, and the Department 10 of Energy; 11 (ii) academic and research institu-12 tions; and 13 (iii) the private sector. 14 (3) T ECHNICAL ASSISTANCE .—In carrying out 15 this subsection, the Under Secretary may provide 16 technical assistance, best practices, and support re-17 quired under paragraph (1) through the National 18 Weather Service. 19 (4) I NDEPENDENT STUDY ON THE IMPACTS OF 20 ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE WEATHER , WATER, AND 21 SPACE WEATHER MODELS .—The Under Secretary 22 may enter into an agreement with the National 23 Academy of Sciences or another entity as determined 24 appropriate by the Under Secretary to assess the 25 VerDate Sep 11 2014 02:15 Apr 18, 2025 Jkt 059200 PO 00000 Frm 00010 Fmt 6652 Sfmt 6201 E:\BILLS\S1378.IS S1378 kjohnson on DSK7ZCZBW3PROD with $$_JOB 11 •S 1378 IS impacts of artificial intelligence weather models on 1 the weather enterprise and make recommendations 2 to improve the integration of such models in oper-3 ational forecasting. 4 (f) P ARTNERSHIPS FOR TRANSFORMATIONAL INNO-5 VATION.— 6 (1) I N GENERAL.—The Under Secretary may 7 explore novel structures for partnerships with pri-8 vate, academic, and international entities for re-9 search and development of transformative innovation 10 in weather forecasting and other environmental fore-11 casts— 12 (A) to further the understanding of weath-13 er, water, wildfires, and space weather, and 14 their societal impact; 15 (B) to advance the science of weather and 16 water forecasting, including seasonal and sub-17 seasonal forecasting; and 18 (C) to develop, evaluate, and transition ar-19 tificial intelligence weather, water, and hazard 20 forecasting applications to operations. 21 (2) C O-INVESTMENT.—Subject to applicable 22 law, the Under Secretary may consider and adopt 23 novel co-investment strategies with the private aca-24 VerDate Sep 11 2014 02:15 Apr 18, 2025 Jkt 059200 PO 00000 Frm 00011 Fmt 6652 Sfmt 6201 E:\BILLS\S1378.IS S1378 kjohnson on DSK7ZCZBW3PROD with $$_JOB 12 •S 1378 IS demic and international sectors to carry out para-1 graph (1), including— 2 (A) non-Federal Government contributions 3 to resource and support high-risk, high-return 4 research and development in environmental 5 forecasting, data science, artificial intelligence, 6 and related fields; 7 (B) shared rights to intellectual property 8 from research and development activities under 9 this subsection; and 10 (C) other approaches to sharing resources 11 and results under this subsection. 12 (g) A VAILABILITY OFDATASET.— 13 (1) I N GENERAL.—The Under Secretary shall 14 develop and implement a plan to make available to 15 the public, at no cost and subject to applicable law 16 and policy, the following: 17 (A) Operational artificial intelligence 18 weather models developed by the National Oce-19 anic and Atmospheric Administration. 20 (B) Artificial intelligence weather models 21 that are not operational models, including ex-22 perimental and developmental models, as the 23 Under Secretary determines appropriate. 24 VerDate Sep 11 2014 02:15 Apr 18, 2025 Jkt 059200 PO 00000 Frm 00012 Fmt 6652 Sfmt 6201 E:\BILLS\S1378.IS S1378 kjohnson on DSK7ZCZBW3PROD with $$_JOB 13 •S 1378 IS (C) Applicable information and documenta-1 tion for artificial intelligence weather models 2 described in subparagraphs (A) and (B), includ-3 ing a description of intended model outputs. 4 (D) Subject to subsection (i), all data 5 owned by the Federal Government and data 6 that the Under Secretary has the legal right to 7 redistribute that are associated with artificial 8 intelligence weather models made available to 9 the public pursuant to the plan and used in 10 operational forecasting by the Administration, 11 including— 12 (i) relevant metadata; and 13 (ii) data used for operational artificial 14 intelligence weather models used by the 15 Administration. 16 (2) A CCOMMODATIONS.—In developing and im-17 plementing the plan under paragraph (1), the Under 18 Secretary may make such accommodations as the 19 Under Secretary considers appropriate to ensure 20 that the public release of any artificial intelligence 21 weather model, information, documentation, or data 22 pursuant to the plan does not jeopardize— 23 (A) national security; 24 VerDate Sep 11 2014 02:15 Apr 18, 2025 Jkt 059200 PO 00000 Frm 00013 Fmt 6652 Sfmt 6201 E:\BILLS\S1378.IS S1378 kjohnson on DSK7ZCZBW3PROD with $$_JOB 14 •S 1378 IS (B) intellectual property or redistribution 1 rights, including under titles 17 and 35, United 2 States Code; 3 (C) any trade secret or commercial or fi-4 nancial information subject to section 552(b)(4) 5 of title 5, United States Code; 6 (D) any models or data that are otherwise 7 restricted by contract or other written agree-8 ment; or 9 (E) the mission of the Administration to 10 protect lives and property. 11 (3) R EPORT.— 12 (A) I N GENERAL.—Not later than one year 13 after the date of the enactment of this Act, the 14 Under Secretary shall submit to Congress a re-15 port, in both unclassified and classified form, 16 regarding the risks to the economic and intellec-17 tual security of the United States from foreign 18 countries of concern through access by those 19 countries to weather data in the United States. 20 (B) E LEMENTS.—The report required 21 under subparagraph (A) shall include— 22 (i) a full analysis of the national, in-23 tellectual, and economic security implica-24 tions for the United States with respect to 25 VerDate Sep 11 2014 02:15 Apr 18, 2025 Jkt 059200 PO 00000 Frm 00014 Fmt 6652 Sfmt 6201 E:\BILLS\S1378.IS S1378 kjohnson on DSK7ZCZBW3PROD with $$_JOB 15 •S 1378 IS intellectual property theft or cyber or 1 human espionage through access to weath-2 er data; and 3 (ii) conclusions of the Under Sec-4 retary and recommendations for legislative 5 and administrative action, if any. 6 (C) F OREIGN COUNTRY OF CONCERN DE -7 FINED.—In this paragraph, the term ‘‘foreign 8 country of concern’’ has the meaning given that 9 term in section 9901 of the William M. (Mac) 10 Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act 11 for Fiscal Year 2021 (15 U.S.C. 4651). 12 (h) R ETENTION OFFEDERALGOVERNMENTEXPER-13 TISE.—Subject to applicable law, the Under Secretary 14 may consider novel methods to recruit, retrain, and retain 15 expert personnel to support activities under this section, 16 including by— 17 (1) using methods to be competitive with sala-18 ries outside the Federal Government; 19 (2) developing staff exchange programs and 20 training programs; and 21 (3) leveraging diverse hiring strategies. 22 (i) P ROTECTION OF NATIONALSECURITYINTER-23 ESTS.— 24 VerDate Sep 11 2014 02:15 Apr 18, 2025 Jkt 059200 PO 00000 Frm 00015 Fmt 6652 Sfmt 6201 E:\BILLS\S1378.IS S1378 kjohnson on DSK7ZCZBW3PROD with $$_JOB 16 •S 1378 IS (1) IN GENERAL.—Notwithstanding any other 1 provision of this section, the Under Secretary, in 2 consultation with the Secretary of Defense, as ap-3 propriate, may withhold models or data used under 4 this section if the Under Secretary determines doing 5 so to be necessary to protect the national security 6 interests of the United States. 7 (2) R ULE OF CONSTRUCTION .—Nothing in this 8 section shall be construed to supersede any other 9 provision of law governing the protection of the na-10 tional security interests of the United States. 11 (j) A UTHORIZATION OF APPROPRIATIONS.—There is 12 authorized to be appropriated to the Under Secretary to 13 carry out this section— 14 (1) for fiscal year 2026, $311,000,000; and 15 (2) for each of fiscal years 2027 through 2030, 16 $76,000,000. 17 Æ VerDate Sep 11 2014 02:15 Apr 18, 2025 Jkt 059200 PO 00000 Frm 00016 Fmt 6652 Sfmt 6301 E:\BILLS\S1378.IS S1378 kjohnson on DSK7ZCZBW3PROD with $$_JOB