Us Congress 2023-2024 Regular Session

Us Congress House Bill HB3966

Introduced
6/9/23  

Caption

Improving Atmospheric River Forecasts Act

Impact

By establishing pilot projects at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the bill directs efforts towards addressing issues such as the resolution of precipitation models over mountainous terrains and enhancing the understanding of atmospheric river dynamics. The bill outlines plans for funding, indicating a dedication of up to $15 million annually over five years to ensure the program's effective execution. If successful, these initiatives could significantly influence water management strategies, particularly in drought-prone areas and those impacted by excessive flooding.

Summary

House Bill 3966, titled the 'Improving Atmospheric River Forecasts Act', aims to enhance the accuracy of precipitation forecasts in the western United States. The bill speaks to the importance of subseasonal to seasonal prediction skills related to water management and intends to tackle key scientific challenges linked to forecasting atmospheric rivers. Its primary objective is to improve forecasting models that can better predict the intensity and nature of precipitation, especially in regions vulnerable to extreme weather events.

Contention

Although the bill is generally seen as a step forward in mitigating the impacts of climate phenomena, it may face scrutiny regarding budget allocations and the efficacy of the proposed pilot projects. Concerns could arise from discussions on whether investing in better forecasting technology and methodologies sufficiently addresses the root causes of climate-related challenges faced by these communities in the western United States. Stakeholders may debate the balance of resources allocated to forecasting improvements versus immediate aid measures for populations already affected by climate extremes.

Companion Bills

No companion bills found.

Previously Filed As

US SB5361

Improving Atmospheric River Forecasts Act

US HB3802

Precipitation Forecasting for Agriculture Act.

US HB4913

To establish in the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration a program to improve precipitation forecasts, and for other purposes.

US SB2203

Atmospheric Rivers Reconnaissance, Observation, and Warning Act ARROW Act

US SB322

Improving Atmospheric River Forecasts ActThis bill requires the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) to establish an atmospheric river forecast improvement program.In carrying out the program, NOAA must seek to reduce loss of life and property and other economic losses caused by atmospheric river events through research and development on accurate, effective, and actionable forecasting and warnings. The program must generally involve the establishment of quantitative atmospheric river forecast skill metrics, the development of an atmospheric river forecast system within a unified forecast system, and the development of tools and products to predict periods of active or inactive atmospheric river landfalls and inland penetration, among other activities. The program must periodically test and evaluate the value of incorporating innovative observations (e.g., observations from radar, aircraft, ocean buoys, and other sources) to facilitate the improvement of modeling and forecasting. The program must also consider the development of best practices for communicating the existence and severity of atmospheric river events, as well as other information about atmospheric rivers. The program may seek to improve precipitation modeling, with an emphasis on forecasting for complex terrain. The bill also requires NOAA to acquire and sustain adequate crewed and uncrewed aircraft (i.e., drones), equipment, and personnel necessary to meet air reconnaissance mission requirements annually during the expected atmospheric river season (November through March). 

US SB324

Smarter Weather Forecasting for Water Management, Farming, and Ranching Act of 2025This bill directs the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) to establish pilot projects to support improved subseasonal to seasonal precipitation forecasting for water management in the western United States and for agriculture nationwide. (Under current law, subseasonal means the time range between two weeks and three months, and seasonal means the time range between three months and two years.)Specifically, NOAA must establish a pilot project to address challenges to improving forecasting and related product development for water management in the western United States. The project must address, among other items, improvements to operational modeling in mountainous regions and to the forecasting of atmospheric rivers. NOAA must also establish a second pilot project to address challenges to improving forecasting and related product development for U.S. agriculture. The project must address, among other items, improvements to operational modeling of warm-season precipitation and to the prediction of certain spring and summer weather patterns.  Each pilot project must include activities that engage with and leverage the resources of academic institutions and entities within NOAA, and that achieve measurable objectives for operational forecast improvement. NOAA’s authority with respect to these pilot projects expires five years after the bill’s enactment. 

US SB4975

Smarter Weather Forecasting for Water Management, Farming, and Ranching Act of 2024

US HB3980

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Act of 2023

US HB6093

Weather Research and Forecasting Innovation Reauthorization Act of 2023 Weather Act Reauthorization Act of 2023

US SB613

Improving Flood and Agricultural Forecasts Act of 2025

Similar Bills

CA AB30

Atmospheric rivers: research: reservoir operations.

CA SB599

Atmospheric rivers: research: forecasting methods: experimental tools.

CA AB2078

Atmospheric Rivers: Research, Mitigation, and Climate Forecasting Program.

CA AB557

Atmospheric Rivers: Research, Mitigation, and Climate Forecasting Program.

CA AB277

Extreme Weather Forecast and Threat Intelligence Integration Center.

US SB322

Improving Atmospheric River Forecasts ActThis bill requires the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) to establish an atmospheric river forecast improvement program.In carrying out the program, NOAA must seek to reduce loss of life and property and other economic losses caused by atmospheric river events through research and development on accurate, effective, and actionable forecasting and warnings. The program must generally involve the establishment of quantitative atmospheric river forecast skill metrics, the development of an atmospheric river forecast system within a unified forecast system, and the development of tools and products to predict periods of active or inactive atmospheric river landfalls and inland penetration, among other activities. The program must periodically test and evaluate the value of incorporating innovative observations (e.g., observations from radar, aircraft, ocean buoys, and other sources) to facilitate the improvement of modeling and forecasting. The program must also consider the development of best practices for communicating the existence and severity of atmospheric river events, as well as other information about atmospheric rivers. The program may seek to improve precipitation modeling, with an emphasis on forecasting for complex terrain. The bill also requires NOAA to acquire and sustain adequate crewed and uncrewed aircraft (i.e., drones), equipment, and personnel necessary to meet air reconnaissance mission requirements annually during the expected atmospheric river season (November through March). 

US SB5361

Improving Atmospheric River Forecasts Act

US HB550

FIRE Act of 2023 Fire Information and Reaction Enhancement Act of 2023