85R15174 KSM-D By: Blanco H.C.R. No. 98 CONCURRENT RESOLUTION WHEREAS, The White House has raised the prospect of a substantial tax on imports from Mexico, but economists and business leaders have warned that such a measure would have a severe negative impact; and WHEREAS, Although the imposition of tariffs is intended to make American companies more competitive, the benefits are both limited and outweighed by numerous and substantial risks, according to economists across the political spectrum; this is the case whether tariffs are imposed directly or through a border-adjusted tax that subsidizes exports; and WHEREAS, Any border tax would hurt U.S. consumers; tariffs are effectively paid by the purchasers of goods, and as imported goods became more expensive, so would any domestic goods that are reasonable substitutes; in turn, the cost of living would soar, affecting lower-income Americans the most, as they spend a higher percentage of their income on goods, especially those produced abroad; and WHEREAS, Costs would also rise for U.S. manufacturers of products that incorporate materials made in Mexico and subject to a border tax; the enactment of tariffs could cause delays or price spikes that spiral through the economy and interrupt complex, time-sensitive supply chains; any slowdown could mean layoffs among producers and damage to the broader U.S. economy; and WHEREAS, Jobs would also be lost because of the inevitable decline in the value of the Mexican peso; the loss of purchasing power by our trading partner would lead to a drop in U.S. exports, thereby putting Americans out of work; this would cause havoc in both the Mexican and U.S. economies, according to former U.S. Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers, now a Harvard University economist, who said that "it would be one of the best things that ever happened for Asian and European competitors"; and WHEREAS, If the United States imposes a tariff, Mexico will no doubt retaliate, resulting in a pernicious trade war; most experts believe that this would deliver a significant blow to the economy, and Peter Petri, a professor of international finance at Brandeis University, has suggested it could take years to rebuild supply chains disrupted by such conflict; Simon Johnson, a professor of entrepreneurship at MIT's Sloan School of Management, has cautioned that the impact would be "much worse than a recession," and more on the scale of a full-blown financial crisis; Princeton University historian Sean Wilentz has offered the example of the Smoot-Hawley Tariff, signed into law by President Herbert Hoover in 1930, which sparked a trade war that devastated the global economy; and WHEREAS, A border tax would be particularly crushing in Texas; Mexico is far and away our state's top trading partner, as the Texas Association of Business observed in speaking out against an import tariff; in 2015, trade between Texas and Mexico amounted to over $176.5 billion, representing more than a third of our total trade, with a surplus of $8 billion on our side; as of 2014, almost 400,000 Texas jobs depended on that trade, according to the Wilson Center Mexico Institute; some Texas businesses have already suffered due to the mere threat of a trade war, which has driven the peso to a near all-time low and weakened the purchasing power of potential customers from Mexico; the effect has been particularly troubling in such border communities as El Paso, where one in every four jobs relies on cross-border trade; and WHEREAS, In 2015, Texas imported $84 billion from Mexico, and with a 20 percent tariff, businesses and consumers would have paid $16.8 billion more for the same goods and services; residents particularly depend on the availability of agricultural products from Mexico, and a border tax would drive up the cost of healthful fruits and vegetables; moreover, many large-scale agricultural concerns in Mexico are owned by American companies; and WHEREAS, Trade has historically been an engine of prosperity, benefiting consumers and businesses alike; Mexico is the nation's third-largest trading partner, and a tariff or border-adjusted tax on imports would drastically suppress commerce, to the tremendous detriment of our state and nation; now, therefore, be it RESOLVED, That the 85th Legislature of the State of Texas hereby respectfully urge the United States Congress and the United States president to reject the imposition of an import tax or border adjustment tax on trade with Mexico; and, be it further RESOLVED, That the Texas secretary of state forward official copies of this resolution to the president of the United States, to the president of the Senate and the speaker of the House of Representatives of the United States Congress, and to all the members of the Texas delegation to Congress with the request that this resolution be entered in the Congressional Record as a memorial to the Congress of the United States of America.