1 | 1 | | II |
---|
2 | 2 | | 119THCONGRESS |
---|
3 | 3 | | 1 |
---|
4 | 4 | | STSESSION S. 322 |
---|
5 | 5 | | To improve the lead time, accuracy, and dissemination of forecasts of |
---|
6 | 6 | | atmospheric rivers throughout the United States, and for other purposes. |
---|
7 | 7 | | IN THE SENATE OF THE UNITED STATES |
---|
8 | 8 | | JANUARY29, 2025 |
---|
9 | 9 | | Mr. P |
---|
10 | 10 | | ADILLA(for himself and Ms. MURKOWSKI) introduced the following bill; |
---|
11 | 11 | | which was read twice and referred to the Committee on Commerce, |
---|
12 | 12 | | Science, and Transportation |
---|
13 | 13 | | A BILL |
---|
14 | 14 | | To improve the lead time, accuracy, and dissemination of |
---|
15 | 15 | | forecasts of atmospheric rivers throughout the United |
---|
16 | 16 | | States, and for other purposes. |
---|
17 | 17 | | Be it enacted by the Senate and House of Representa-1 |
---|
18 | 18 | | tives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, 2 |
---|
19 | 19 | | SECTION 1. SHORT TITLE. 3 |
---|
20 | 20 | | This Act may be cited as the ‘‘Improving Atmos-4 |
---|
21 | 21 | | pheric River Forecasts Act’’. 5 |
---|
22 | 22 | | SEC. 2. ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS FORECAST IMPROVEMENT 6 |
---|
23 | 23 | | PROGRAM. 7 |
---|
24 | 24 | | (a) I |
---|
25 | 25 | | NGENERAL.—The Under Secretary, in collabo-8 |
---|
26 | 26 | | ration with the weather enterprise in the United States 9 |
---|
27 | 27 | | VerDate Sep 11 2014 00:49 Feb 26, 2025 Jkt 059200 PO 00000 Frm 00001 Fmt 6652 Sfmt 6201 E:\BILLS\S322.IS S322 |
---|
28 | 28 | | ssavage on LAPJG3WLY3PROD with BILLS 2 |
---|
29 | 29 | | •S 322 IS |
---|
30 | 30 | | and institutions of higher education, shall establish an at-1 |
---|
31 | 31 | | mospheric river forecast improvement program (in this 2 |
---|
32 | 32 | | section referred to as the ‘‘program’’). 3 |
---|
33 | 33 | | (b) P |
---|
34 | 34 | | ROGRAMELEMENTS.—In carrying out the pro-4 |
---|
35 | 35 | | gram, the Under Secretary shall seek to reduce the loss 5 |
---|
36 | 36 | | of life and property and economic losses from atmospheric 6 |
---|
37 | 37 | | rivers through the development and extension of, and re-7 |
---|
38 | 38 | | search on, accurate, effective, and actionable forecasts and 8 |
---|
39 | 39 | | warnings, including by— 9 |
---|
40 | 40 | | (1) establishing quantitative atmospheric river 10 |
---|
41 | 41 | | forecast skill metrics that include the benefits of dy-11 |
---|
42 | 42 | | namical modeling, data assimilation, and machine 12 |
---|
43 | 43 | | learning improvements in the probabilistic forecasts 13 |
---|
44 | 44 | | of landfall location, extreme wind and precipitation, 14 |
---|
45 | 45 | | and cascading impacts; 15 |
---|
46 | 46 | | (2) developing an atmospheric river forecast 16 |
---|
47 | 47 | | system within a unified forecast system, and advanc-17 |
---|
48 | 48 | | ing next-generation coupled modeling systems, with 18 |
---|
49 | 49 | | the capability of providing seasonal to short-range 19 |
---|
50 | 50 | | atmospheric river forecasts that include forecasts of 20 |
---|
51 | 51 | | snow accumulation and other hydrologic compo-21 |
---|
52 | 52 | | nents; 22 |
---|
53 | 53 | | (3) advancing scientific understanding of the 23 |
---|
54 | 54 | | roles of atmospheric rivers in subseasonal-to-sea-24 |
---|
55 | 55 | | VerDate Sep 11 2014 00:49 Feb 26, 2025 Jkt 059200 PO 00000 Frm 00002 Fmt 6652 Sfmt 6201 E:\BILLS\S322.IS S322 |
---|
56 | 56 | | ssavage on LAPJG3WLY3PROD with BILLS 3 |
---|
57 | 57 | | •S 322 IS |
---|
58 | 58 | | sonal precipitation and probabilistic predictions at 1 |
---|
59 | 59 | | subseasonal and seasonal scales; 2 |
---|
60 | 60 | | (4) developing tools and improved forecast 3 |
---|
61 | 61 | | products to predict periods of active or inactive at-4 |
---|
62 | 62 | | mospheric river landfalls and inland penetration over 5 |
---|
63 | 63 | | the United States with a focus on addressing stake-6 |
---|
64 | 64 | | holder and public needs related to perceiving, com-7 |
---|
65 | 65 | | prehending, and responding to atmospheric river 8 |
---|
66 | 66 | | forecast improvements; 9 |
---|
67 | 67 | | (5) enhancing the transition of research to op-10 |
---|
68 | 68 | | erations through the testbeds of the National Oce-11 |
---|
69 | 69 | | anic and Atmospheric Administration, including the 12 |
---|
70 | 70 | | evaluation of physical and social science, technology, 13 |
---|
71 | 71 | | and other research to develop products and services 14 |
---|
72 | 72 | | for implementation and use by relevant stakeholders; 15 |
---|
73 | 73 | | and 16 |
---|
74 | 74 | | (6) incorporating social, behavioral, risk, com-17 |
---|
75 | 75 | | munication, and economic sciences, including by col-18 |
---|
76 | 76 | | lecting voluntary data regarding hazardous weather 19 |
---|
77 | 77 | | or water events. 20 |
---|
78 | 78 | | (c) I |
---|
79 | 79 | | NNOVATIVEOBSERVATIONS, DATAASSIMILA-21 |
---|
80 | 80 | | TION, ANDMODELING.—The Under Secretary shall en-22 |
---|
81 | 81 | | sure the program periodically examines, tests, and evalu-23 |
---|
82 | 82 | | ates the value of incorporating innovative observations, 24 |
---|
83 | 83 | | such as observations from radar, observations from crewed 25 |
---|
84 | 84 | | VerDate Sep 11 2014 00:49 Feb 26, 2025 Jkt 059200 PO 00000 Frm 00003 Fmt 6652 Sfmt 6201 E:\BILLS\S322.IS S322 |
---|
85 | 85 | | ssavage on LAPJG3WLY3PROD with BILLS 4 |
---|
86 | 86 | | •S 322 IS |
---|
87 | 87 | | or uncrewed aircraft, novel airborne and satellite-based 1 |
---|
88 | 88 | | measurements, data from ocean buoys, data from soil 2 |
---|
89 | 89 | | moisture monitoring systems, reservoir storage data, ob-3 |
---|
90 | 90 | | servations from mesonets, or any observations, measure-4 |
---|
91 | 91 | | ments, or data from other emerging technologies, with re-5 |
---|
92 | 92 | | spect to the improvement of atmospheric river analyses, 6 |
---|
93 | 93 | | modeling, forecasts, predictions, and warnings. 7 |
---|
94 | 94 | | (d) I |
---|
95 | 95 | | MPROVEDMODELING.— 8 |
---|
96 | 96 | | (1) I |
---|
97 | 97 | | N GENERAL.—Under the program, the 9 |
---|
98 | 98 | | Under Secretary may improve modeling for precipi-10 |
---|
99 | 99 | | tation forecasts, with an emphasis on forecasting for 11 |
---|
100 | 100 | | complex terrain. 12 |
---|
101 | 101 | | (2) I |
---|
102 | 102 | | MPROVED PRECIPITATION FORECASTS .— 13 |
---|
103 | 103 | | Improved precipitation forecasts pursuant to im-14 |
---|
104 | 104 | | proved modeling under paragraph (1) should support 15 |
---|
105 | 105 | | improved water resource management and resilience 16 |
---|
106 | 106 | | to extreme water-related events, from floods to 17 |
---|
107 | 107 | | drought, which may include the use of enhanced 18 |
---|
108 | 108 | | streamflow prediction. 19 |
---|
109 | 109 | | (3) E |
---|
110 | 110 | | LEMENTS.—In improving modeling under 20 |
---|
111 | 111 | | paragraph (1), the Under Secretary may— 21 |
---|
112 | 112 | | (A) develop, test, and operationalize proto-22 |
---|
113 | 113 | | type high-resolution Atmospheric River Analysis 23 |
---|
114 | 114 | | and Forecasting System models through a re-24 |
---|
115 | 115 | | search and operations partnership with partners 25 |
---|
116 | 116 | | VerDate Sep 11 2014 00:49 Feb 26, 2025 Jkt 059200 PO 00000 Frm 00004 Fmt 6652 Sfmt 6201 E:\BILLS\S322.IS S322 |
---|
117 | 117 | | ssavage on LAPJG3WLY3PROD with BILLS 5 |
---|
118 | 118 | | •S 322 IS |
---|
119 | 119 | | outside the National Oceanic and Atmospheric 1 |
---|
120 | 120 | | Administration; 2 |
---|
121 | 121 | | (B) enhance data assimilation of current 3 |
---|
122 | 122 | | and new satellite and ocean observations; 4 |
---|
123 | 123 | | (C) improve data processing techniques; 5 |
---|
124 | 124 | | (D) use artificial intelligence and machine 6 |
---|
125 | 125 | | learning methods as applicable; 7 |
---|
126 | 126 | | (E) ensure the surface and subsurface ob-8 |
---|
127 | 127 | | servations of the ocean meet the needs of at-9 |
---|
128 | 128 | | mospheric river analysis and forecasting pre-10 |
---|
129 | 129 | | dictions on time scales from days, to weeks, to 11 |
---|
130 | 130 | | months, to seasons; and 12 |
---|
131 | 131 | | (F) improve or establish baseline weather 13 |
---|
132 | 132 | | monitoring service in areas that have histori-14 |
---|
133 | 133 | | cally experienced, or are predicted to experi-15 |
---|
134 | 134 | | ence, atmospheric rivers. 16 |
---|
135 | 135 | | (e) A |
---|
136 | 136 | | TMOSPHERICRIVERRECONNAISSANCE.— 17 |
---|
137 | 137 | | (1) I |
---|
138 | 138 | | N GENERAL.—The Under Secretary shall 18 |
---|
139 | 139 | | acquire and sustain adequate crewed and uncrewed 19 |
---|
140 | 140 | | aircraft, scientific equipment, and personnel nec-20 |
---|
141 | 141 | | essary to meet mission requirements annually from 21 |
---|
142 | 142 | | November 1 through March 31 to— 22 |
---|
143 | 143 | | (A) ensure atmospheric river air reconnais-23 |
---|
144 | 144 | | sance observations are available throughout the 24 |
---|
145 | 145 | | expected seasons of atmospheric rivers; 25 |
---|
146 | 146 | | VerDate Sep 11 2014 00:49 Feb 26, 2025 Jkt 059200 PO 00000 Frm 00005 Fmt 6652 Sfmt 6201 E:\BILLS\S322.IS S322 |
---|
147 | 147 | | ssavage on LAPJG3WLY3PROD with BILLS 6 |
---|
148 | 148 | | •S 322 IS |
---|
149 | 149 | | (B) meet air reconnaissance and research 1 |
---|
150 | 150 | | mission requirements of the National Oceanic 2 |
---|
151 | 151 | | and Atmospheric Administration, including with 3 |
---|
152 | 152 | | respect to tropical cyclones, high-impact weath-4 |
---|
153 | 153 | | er, sea ice, atmospheric chemistry, climate, air 5 |
---|
154 | 154 | | quality for public health, fire weather research 6 |
---|
155 | 155 | | and operations, and other missions, including 7 |
---|
156 | 156 | | marine animal surveys, post-damage surveys, 8 |
---|
157 | 157 | | and coastal erosion reconnaissance; 9 |
---|
158 | 158 | | (C) ensure data and information collected 10 |
---|
159 | 159 | | by the aircraft are made available to all users 11 |
---|
160 | 160 | | for research and operations purposes; 12 |
---|
161 | 161 | | (D) participate in the research and oper-13 |
---|
162 | 162 | | ations partnership that guides flight planning 14 |
---|
163 | 163 | | and uses research methods to improve and ex-15 |
---|
164 | 164 | | pand the capabilities and effectiveness of atmos-16 |
---|
165 | 165 | | pheric river reconnaissance over time; 17 |
---|
166 | 166 | | (E) develop data management strategies to 18 |
---|
167 | 167 | | ensure that data and metadata are adequately 19 |
---|
168 | 168 | | stewarded, maintained, and archived in accord-20 |
---|
169 | 169 | | ance with collective benefit, authority to control, 21 |
---|
170 | 170 | | responsibility, and ethics principles (commonly 22 |
---|
171 | 171 | | known as ‘‘CARE’’ principles), findable, acces-23 |
---|
172 | 172 | | sible, interoperable, and reusable principles 24 |
---|
173 | 173 | | (commonly known as ‘‘FAIR’’ principles), and 25 |
---|
174 | 174 | | VerDate Sep 11 2014 00:49 Feb 26, 2025 Jkt 059200 PO 00000 Frm 00006 Fmt 6652 Sfmt 6201 E:\BILLS\S322.IS S322 |
---|
175 | 175 | | ssavage on LAPJG3WLY3PROD with BILLS 7 |
---|
176 | 176 | | •S 322 IS |
---|
177 | 177 | | the Foundations for Evidence-Based Policy-1 |
---|
178 | 178 | | making Act of 2018 (Public Law 115–435; 132 2 |
---|
179 | 179 | | Stat. 5529) and the amendments made by that 3 |
---|
180 | 180 | | Act, and preserve and curate such data and 4 |
---|
181 | 181 | | metadata in accordance with chapter 31 of title 5 |
---|
182 | 182 | | 44, United States Code (commonly known as 6 |
---|
183 | 183 | | the ‘‘Federal Records Act of 1950’’); 7 |
---|
184 | 184 | | (F) maintain or establish within the Office 8 |
---|
185 | 185 | | of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research not fewer 9 |
---|
186 | 186 | | than one atmospheric river observatory, which 10 |
---|
187 | 187 | | shall include water vapor flux analyses and 11 |
---|
188 | 188 | | forecasts, radar and disdrometer precipitation 12 |
---|
189 | 189 | | analyses, and snow level radars in all States 13 |
---|
190 | 190 | | along the West Coast of the United States, in-14 |
---|
191 | 191 | | cluding Alaska, to ensure equal and comprehen-15 |
---|
192 | 192 | | sive coverage of that region; and 16 |
---|
193 | 193 | | (G) undertake such other additional activi-17 |
---|
194 | 194 | | ties as the Under Secretary, in consultation 18 |
---|
195 | 195 | | with the Secretary of the Air Force, considers 19 |
---|
196 | 196 | | appropriate to improve and grow the atmos-20 |
---|
197 | 197 | | pheric river reconnaissance mission. 21 |
---|
198 | 198 | | (f) I |
---|
199 | 199 | | MPROVEDATMOSPHERICRIVERHAZARDCOM-22 |
---|
200 | 200 | | MUNICATION.—Under the program, the Under Secretary 23 |
---|
201 | 201 | | shall consider research and development activities to— 24 |
---|
202 | 202 | | VerDate Sep 11 2014 00:49 Feb 26, 2025 Jkt 059200 PO 00000 Frm 00007 Fmt 6652 Sfmt 6201 E:\BILLS\S322.IS S322 |
---|
203 | 203 | | ssavage on LAPJG3WLY3PROD with BILLS 8 |
---|
204 | 204 | | •S 322 IS |
---|
205 | 205 | | (1) as appropriate, develop and refine methods 1 |
---|
206 | 206 | | to categorize the intensity of atmospheric rivers on 2 |
---|
207 | 207 | | a quantitative scale and the impacts of such a scale 3 |
---|
208 | 208 | | in hazard communication; 4 |
---|
209 | 209 | | (2) develop best practices for communication of 5 |
---|
210 | 210 | | atmospheric river events and hazards across regions 6 |
---|
211 | 211 | | of the United States; 7 |
---|
212 | 212 | | (3) gather information from areas prone to at-8 |
---|
213 | 213 | | mospheric rivers regarding levels of knowledge and 9 |
---|
214 | 214 | | preparedness, including responses to early forecasts 10 |
---|
215 | 215 | | and warnings by the National Oceanic and Atmos-11 |
---|
216 | 216 | | pheric Administration; and 12 |
---|
217 | 217 | | (4) explore strategies and effectiveness of com-13 |
---|
218 | 218 | | municating that atmospheric river events are bene-14 |
---|
219 | 219 | | ficial at lower intensities versus hazardous at higher 15 |
---|
220 | 220 | | intensities. 16 |
---|
221 | 221 | | (g) P |
---|
222 | 222 | | ROGRAMPLAN.—Not later than 270 days after 17 |
---|
223 | 223 | | the date of the enactment of this Act, the Under Sec-18 |
---|
224 | 224 | | retary, in consultation with the Secretary of the Air Force 19 |
---|
225 | 225 | | or the Commander of the 53rd Weather Reconnaissance 20 |
---|
226 | 226 | | Squadron of the Air Force Reserve Command, shall— 21 |
---|
227 | 227 | | (1) develop a plan that details the specific re-22 |
---|
228 | 228 | | search, development, data acquisition, partnerships 23 |
---|
229 | 229 | | with institutions of higher education, and technology 24 |
---|
230 | 230 | | transfer activities, as well as corresponding resources 25 |
---|
231 | 231 | | VerDate Sep 11 2014 00:49 Feb 26, 2025 Jkt 059200 PO 00000 Frm 00008 Fmt 6652 Sfmt 6201 E:\BILLS\S322.IS S322 |
---|
232 | 232 | | ssavage on LAPJG3WLY3PROD with BILLS 9 |
---|
233 | 233 | | •S 322 IS |
---|
234 | 234 | | and timelines, necessary to achieve the goals of the 1 |
---|
235 | 235 | | program under subsection (b); 2 |
---|
236 | 236 | | (2) submit that plan to the Committee on Com-3 |
---|
237 | 237 | | merce, Science, and Transportation of the Senate 4 |
---|
238 | 238 | | and the Committee on Science, Space, and Tech-5 |
---|
239 | 239 | | nology of the House of Representatives; and 6 |
---|
240 | 240 | | (3) make that plan available to the public. 7 |
---|
241 | 241 | | (h) D |
---|
242 | 242 | | EFINITIONS.—In this section: 8 |
---|
243 | 243 | | (1) I |
---|
244 | 244 | | NSTITUTION OF HIGHER EDUCATION .—The 9 |
---|
245 | 245 | | term ‘‘institution of higher education’’ has the 10 |
---|
246 | 246 | | meaning given that term in section 101(a) of the 11 |
---|
247 | 247 | | Higher Education Act of 1965 (20 U.S.C. 1001(a)). 12 |
---|
248 | 248 | | (2) S |
---|
249 | 249 | | EASONAL; SUBSEASONAL; UNDER SEC-13 |
---|
250 | 250 | | RETARY; WEATHER ENTERPRISE .—The terms ‘‘sea-14 |
---|
251 | 251 | | sonal’’, ‘‘subseasonal’’, ‘‘Under Secretary’’, and 15 |
---|
252 | 252 | | ‘‘weather enterprise’’ have the meanings given those 16 |
---|
253 | 253 | | terms in section 2 of the Weather Research and 17 |
---|
254 | 254 | | Forecasting Innovation Act of 2017 (15 U.S.C. 18 |
---|
255 | 255 | | 8501). 19 |
---|
256 | 256 | | Æ |
---|
257 | 257 | | VerDate Sep 11 2014 00:49 Feb 26, 2025 Jkt 059200 PO 00000 Frm 00009 Fmt 6652 Sfmt 6301 E:\BILLS\S322.IS S322 |
---|
258 | 258 | | ssavage on LAPJG3WLY3PROD with BILLS |
---|